TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Serhii Chuhai 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611115116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:49 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Serhii Chuhai at 63.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 22–25 Serhii Chuhai Andrii Vasylets has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:4963.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Chuhai
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-25 in 47
Chuhai
Wrong
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1707 vs Chuhai 1785
Chuhai
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 80% vs Chuhai 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 80% vs Chuhai 60%
Vasylets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +2 · Chuhai +4
Chuhai
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Chuhai) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.50 / Chuhai 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Chuhai)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13256052
Vasylets2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 61
Chuhai1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 164 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it89% 124 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets3wins
AwayChuhai7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets50%2 of 4
AwayChuhai83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets4Chuhai6n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S2Vasylets3Chuhai7n = 10Chuhai took 7 of 10
S3Vasylets5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasylets3Chuhai5n = 8Chuhai took 5 of 8
S5Vasylets1Chuhai2n = 3Chuhai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsChuhaiV − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.441.4−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 519 vs 484 / 95145.7%50.9%237 / 519 vs 484 / 951Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiVasylets 2.50/Chuhai 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:30A. Vasylets408121191S. Chuhai4411148113
WSep 22 · 14:30A. Vasylets4211116143S. Chuhai366711121
LSep 9 · 05:30A. Vasylets165740S. Chuhai331111113
LJul 30 · 17:00A. Vasylets3811710101S. Chuhai4271112123
LJul 30 · 15:00A. Vasylets36691471S. Chuhai45111112113
WJul 28 · 17:09A. Vasylets539101112113S. Chuhai38111221032
LJul 28 · 12:00A. Vasylets4211118842S. Chuhai50981111113
WJul 23 · 12:00A. Vasylets51111016143S. Chuhai4571214121
LJul 21 · 12:00A. Vasylets4791111972S. Chuhai48116911113
LJul 14 · 15:00A. Vasylets197660S. Chuhai331111113
A. Vasylets10
WOct 7 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko2.758860A. Vasylets1.401111113WOct 7 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.50129711113O. Syksa2.50101111972LOct 7 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5361112113A. Vasylets2.381181081WOct 7 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.281111113O. Kurylenko3.505660WOct 4 · 17:33M. Hubenko1.53611961A. Vasylets2.3811811113WOct 4 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.50312641A. Vasylets2.5011101153WOct 4 · 15:00A. Vasylets1.501111103O. Syksa2.507790LOct 4 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.5011126111M. Hubenko1.5031411133WOct 4 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.4411811113D. Kuzmenko2.63511951WSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.7371112113O. Syksa2.001151051
S. Chuhai10
WOct 7 · 10:00O. Syksa4.50108110S. Chuhai1.171211133WOct 7 · 08:30M. Hubenko2.7511612792S. Chuhai1.409111011113WOct 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.334970S. Chuhai1.201111113WOct 7 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko7.00211117112S. Chuhai1.08112911133LOct 6 · 16:58A. Lushchyk1.33111111113S. Chuhai3.25513691LOct 6 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111133S. Chuhai3.0089110LOct 6 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.101456101A. Lushchyk1.67121111123WOct 6 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.25116113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5761151172WOct 6 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.251311118113A. Kasyanov1.57117131192LOct 2 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.104580A. Kasyanov1.671111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.