TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Evhenii Hrytsenko vs Yehor Riadynskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118115––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched: 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Yehor Riadynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 64.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 9–17 Yehor Riadynskyi Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0264.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 0.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Riadynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-17 in 26
Riadynskyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1660 vs Riadynskyi 1707
Riadynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 40% vs Riadynskyi 60%
Riadynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 50% vs Riadynskyi 70%
Riadynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +1 · Riadynskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Riadynskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.375 / Riadynskyi 1.533
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Riadynskyi)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13245568
Hrytsenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 61
Riadynskyi1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 169 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 77 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it77% 120 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko4wins
AwayRiadynskyi6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRiadynskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko75%3 of 4
AwayRiadynskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko4Riadynskyi6n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Hrytsenko3Riadynskyi7n = 10Riadynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Hrytsenko5Riadynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrytsenko5Riadynskyi2n = 7Hrytsenko took 5 of 7
S5Hrytsenko2Riadynskyi3n = 5Riadynskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoRiadynskyiH − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.8−1.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoRiadynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 652 vs 389 / 68249.4%57%322 / 652 vs 389 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiHrytsenko 2.38/Riadynskyi 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko371188101Y. Riadynskyi4391111123
WAug 28 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko341112113Y. Riadynskyi2561090
WAug 18 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko42113116113Y. Riadynskyi4241191172
LAug 17 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko4495111182Y. Riadynskyi46111158113
LAug 10 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko43511121142Y. Riadynskyi46114146113
LAug 4 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko48101191172Y. Riadynskyi46123119113
LAug 3 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko248790Y. Riadynskyi331111113
WJul 25 · 10:57E. Hrytsenko4011711113Y. Riadynskyi33611971
LJul 25 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko209650Y. Riadynskyi331111113
WJul 20 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko491021114123Y. Riadynskyi511211612102
E. Hrytsenko10
WOct 5 · 13:40E. Hrytsenko2.501151111113A. Derevianko1.5071191382LOct 5 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko2.251476101O. Strutinskiy1.57121111123WOct 5 · 10:40E. Hrytsenko1.8371111113V. Maksuta1.83119251LOct 2 · 11:50E. Hrytsenko1.80811971M. Mrykh1.9111911113LOct 2 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko1.739101291I. Nitchenko2.00111210113WOct 2 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.5011911113A. Derevianko1.50611971LOct 2 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko2.201188101Y. Riadynskyi1.6191111123WOct 2 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.501111113O. Strutinskiy1.509870WOct 1 · 17:10E. Hrytsenko1.911111113V. Maksuta1.807850LOct 1 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov2.00912119113E. Hrytsenko1.73111071152
Y. Riadynskyi10
LOct 5 · 14:10Y. Riadynskyi1.6769110O. Strutinskiy2.101111133WOct 5 · 13:10O. Zhyrnov3.00981291Y. Riadynskyi1.36111110113WOct 5 · 11:40Y. Riadynskyi1.53111011113A. Derevianko2.38612991LOct 2 · 12:50A. Derevianko2.38811311113Y. Riadynskyi1.5311811882WOct 2 · 11:20Y. Riadynskyi1.67641112113O. Strutinskiy2.10111141072WOct 2 · 09:20I. Nitchenko2.501197101Y. Riadynskyi1.5041111123WOct 2 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko2.201188101Y. Riadynskyi1.6191111123LOct 2 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.831111113Y. Riadynskyi1.837890WOct 1 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.571211116133A. Nazarov2.251013911112WOct 1 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.50119811133A. Derevianko2.50811116112
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