TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yehor Riadynskyi vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111113––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYehor Riadynskyi above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 57.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Riadynskyi 60–42 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 42 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:0257.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Riadynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
60-42 in 102
Riadynskyi
Wrong
gap of 18 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Riadynskyi 1722 vs Strutinskiy 1701
Riadynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Riadynskyi 80% vs Strutinskiy 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Riadynskyi 70% vs Strutinskiy 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Riadynskyi +2 · Strutinskiy +4
Strutinskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Riadynskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRiadynskyi 1.666 / Strutinskiy 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Riadynskyi)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245282
Riadynskyi1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 169 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 77 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it77% 120 of 155
Strutinskiy2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRiadynskyi7wins
AwayStrutinskiy3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRiadynskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRiadynskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayStrutinskiy25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Riadynskyi6Strutinskiy4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Riadynskyi6Strutinskiy4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Riadynskyi7Strutinskiy3n = 10Riadynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Riadynskyi2Strutinskiy6n = 8Strutinskiy took 6 of 8
S5Riadynskyi4Strutinskiy1n = 5Riadynskyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRiadynskyiStrutinskiyR − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.8+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRiadynskyiStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 682 vs 426 / 82357.2%51.8%390 / 682 vs 426 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiRiadynskyi 1.67/Strutinskiy 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 11:20Y. Riadynskyi44641112113O. Strutinskiy43111141072
WOct 1 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi341211113O. Strutinskiy2610970
WSep 12 · 07:50Y. Riadynskyi48611119113O. Strutinskiy4311961162
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi47131161162O. Strutinskiy511151113113
WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi331111113O. Strutinskiy248790
LAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi29811911O. Strutinskiy3711411113
WAug 17 · 17:30Y. Riadynskyi49119117113O. Strutinskiy4681191172
LAug 10 · 17:30Y. Riadynskyi371171091O. Strutinskiy4061112113
WAug 6 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi46811115113O. Strutinskiy4311771172
WAug 4 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi4111811113O. Strutinskiy25811241
Y. Riadynskyi10
LOct 5 · 15:10E. Hrytsenko2.381111113Y. Riadynskyi1.535850WOct 5 · 13:10O. Zhyrnov3.00981291Y. Riadynskyi1.36111110113WOct 5 · 11:40Y. Riadynskyi1.53111011113A. Derevianko2.38612991LOct 2 · 12:50A. Derevianko2.38811311113Y. Riadynskyi1.5311811882WOct 2 · 11:20Y. Riadynskyi1.67641112113O. Strutinskiy2.10111141072WOct 2 · 09:20I. Nitchenko2.501197101Y. Riadynskyi1.5041111123WOct 2 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko2.201188101Y. Riadynskyi1.6191111123LOct 2 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.831111113Y. Riadynskyi1.837890WOct 1 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.571211116133A. Nazarov2.251013911112WOct 1 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.50119811133A. Derevianko2.50811116112
O. Strutinskiy10
WOct 5 · 16:10O. Strutinskiy1.671411113V. Maksuta2.1012260WOct 5 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko2.251476101O. Strutinskiy1.57121111123WOct 5 · 11:10O. Zhyrnov2.75117931O. Strutinskiy1.4031111113WOct 3 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.103790O. Strutinskiy1.671111113WOct 3 · 11:20O. Zhyrnov3.25121176112O. Strutinskiy1.331031111133LOct 3 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.91914117113O. Strutinskiy1.80111281192WOct 3 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3691181282O. Strutinskiy3.001171110113LOct 3 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.2041211113O. Strutinskiy1.611110681LOct 2 · 12:20I. Nitchenko1.831351311113O. Strutinskiy1.831111111332LOct 2 · 11:20Y. Riadynskyi1.67641112113O. Strutinskiy2.10111141072
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