TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Evhenii Hrytsenko vs Oleksandr Strutinskiy 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:41 and never touched: 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 64.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 12–32 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 12 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:4164.1%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 2.6pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Strutinskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-32 in 44
Strutinskiy
Wrong
gap of 20 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1654 vs Strutinskiy 1700
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 80% vs Strutinskiy 40%
Hrytsenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 60% vs Strutinskiy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +1 · Strutinskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Strutinskiy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.50 / Strutinskiy 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Strutinskiy)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229233
Hrytsenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 85 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 61
Strutinskiy1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 144 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it87% 71 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it73% 103 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko4wins
AwayStrutinskiy6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStrutinskiy62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko2Strutinskiy8n = 10Strutinskiy took 8 of 10
S2Hrytsenko4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S3Hrytsenko5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrytsenko5Strutinskiy2n = 7Hrytsenko took 5 of 7
S5Hrytsenko1Strutinskiy2n = 3Strutinskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoStrutinskiyH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.6−1.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 649 vs 422 / 81349%51.9%318 / 649 vs 422 / 813Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyHrytsenko 2.50/Strutinskiy 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko4181111113O. Strutinskiy28116651
LSep 28 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko25641141O. Strutinskiy4211119113
LSep 25 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko25105100O. Strutinskiy351211123
WSep 22 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko4261411113O. Strutinskiy341112741
LSep 21 · 14:00E. Hrytsenko2510780O. Strutinskiy341211113
WSep 18 · 14:00E. Hrytsenko4211911113O. Strutinskiy32611781
LSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko4412811762O. Strutinskiy491011611113
WSep 8 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko42611311113O. Strutinskiy4011411772
LSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko29111080O. Strutinskiy361312113
LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko4591191152O. Strutinskiy46118115113
E. Hrytsenko10
WOct 1 · 17:10E. Hrytsenko1.911111113V. Maksuta1.807850LOct 1 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov2.00912119113E. Hrytsenko1.73111071152WOct 1 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko1.8311117113M. Tiutiunnyk1.83741161WOct 1 · 13:10V. Merzlikin2.00113761E. Hrytsenko1.7351111113WOct 1 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko1.531111113Y. Holoborodko2.382780WSep 29 · 11:50E. Hrytsenko1.83112611113M. Mrykh1.8371111972LSep 29 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko2.507950A. Derevianko1.501111113LSep 29 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.75614161V. Savoliuk1.40111211113LSep 29 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko1.7310690I. Nitchenko2.001211113WSep 29 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.7581111113O. Strutinskiy1.40116651
O. Strutinskiy10
LOct 1 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4011511113O. Strutinskiy2.75711491WOct 1 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.751111113O. Seliuchenko1.409870LOct 1 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.1091112133O. Strutinskiy1.6711810111LOct 1 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.671211113O. Strutinskiy2.1010970WOct 1 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.25311941O. Strutinskiy1.5711511113WSep 29 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.1099100O. Strutinskiy1.671111123WSep 29 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.8366131152O. Strutinskiy1.831111114113WSep 29 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.83129130O. Strutinskiy1.831411153LSep 29 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.401111113O. Strutinskiy2.757790LSep 29 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.7581111113O. Strutinskiy1.40116651
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