TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Hryhoriy Oliynyk vs Orest Melnik 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511411119911
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:21 and never touched: 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeOrest Melnik to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Orest Melnik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Orest Melnik at 82.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 1–22 Orest Melnik Hryhoriy Oliynyk has won 1 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2182.9%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
clears by 1.1pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Melnik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-22 in 23
Melnik
Correct
gap of 21 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1130 vs Melnik 1299
Melnik
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 20% vs Melnik 80%
Melnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 20% vs Melnik 80%
Melnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -2 · Melnik +4
Melnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% · Strong (leans Melnik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 4.00 / Melnik 1.222
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Melnik)+1.1pp
Setka Cup · #13245340
Oliynyk4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 18 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Melnik1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 52 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk1wins
AwayMelnik9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMelnik leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMelnik100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk1Melnik9n = 10Melnik took 9 of 10
S2Oliynyk1Melnik9n = 10Melnik took 9 of 10
S3Oliynyk3Melnik7n = 10Melnik took 7 of 10
S4Oliynyk0Melnik3n = 3Melnik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykMelnikO − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match25.936.8−10.9per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 237 vs 169 / 35948.1%47.1%114 / 237 vs 169 / 359Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MelnikOliynyk 4.00/Melnik 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Melnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 13 · 12:55H. Oliynyk112450O. Melnik331111113
LJul 29 · 07:25H. Oliynyk2141070O. Melnik341112113
LJul 22 · 07:25H. Oliynyk207490O. Melnik331111113
LJul 15 · 09:25H. Oliynyk206770O. Melnik331111113
LJul 8 · 09:25H. Oliynyk25731141O. Melnik3811115113
LJul 1 · 07:25H. Oliynyk2912890O. Melnik361411113
LJun 10 · 06:55H. Oliynyk197930O. Melnik331111113
WMay 6 · 05:25H. Oliynyk53119119133O. Melnik43511511112
LApr 16 · 06:55H. Oliynyk35917451O. Melnik48111511113
H. Oliynyk10
WOct 5 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk2.1027120H. Oliynyk1.671111143LOct 5 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.807850V. Vasyliev1.911111113LOct 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk1.733980O. Maslovskyi2.001111113WOct 5 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.831111113O. Maksymkiv1.838330LOct 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.38131311123H. Oliynyk1.5315113101LOct 2 · 16:55H. Oliynyk1.912670M. Dunas1.801111113WOct 2 · 15:55H. Oliynyk1.801311123V. Hel1.91118100LOct 2 · 14:25H. Oliynyk1.575880A. Nikolenko2.251111113LOct 2 · 12:25H. Oliynyk1.671011971O. Maksymkiv2.1012911113LSep 30 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.631111123H. Oliynyk1.4474100
O. Melnik10
WOct 5 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk3.009560O. Melnik1.361111113WOct 5 · 06:25O. Melnik1.571111113V. Vasyliev2.257830WOct 5 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.7311116952O. Melnik2.00381111113WOct 4 · 18:55O. Melnik1.441111113O. Maksymkiv2.636890LOct 4 · 16:55O. Maslovskyi1.801111113O. Melnik1.919540WOct 4 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk3.5013791132O. Melnik1.281111116113WOct 4 · 13:55O. Melnik1.67129711113V. Vasyliev2.10101111992WOct 4 · 12:55M. Dunas2.205770O. Melnik1.611111113WSep 23 · 11:25O. Melnik1.501110118113O. Maksymkiv2.5091221152LSep 23 · 09:25A. Dulich1.36119812113O. Melnik3.00811111062
Upcoming Matches
H. Oliynyk
Nothing scheduled
O. Melnik
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