TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Shypilov vs Orest Hura 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111416811––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 64 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Orest Hura at 55.3%
64 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 42–35 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 35 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5855.3%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 2.6pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hura
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
42-35 in 77
Shypilov
Wrong
gap of 7 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1493 vs Hura 1552
Hura
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Hura 60%
Hura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 40% vs Hura 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -1 · Hura +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Hura) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.00 / Hura 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Hura)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13244626
Shypilov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 164 of 369
Down 0–1, comes back29% 59 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 111
Hura1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 04)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 97 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it71% 67 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov6wins
AwayHura4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov80%4 of 5
AwayHura60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov5Hura5n = 10split evenly
S2Shypilov4Hura6n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov5Hura5n = 10split evenly
S4Shypilov4Hura5n = 9Hura took 5 of 9
S5Shypilov3Hura0n = 3Shypilov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovHuraS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.9−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 860 vs 422 / 80645.5%52.4%391 / 860 vs 422 / 806Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HuraShypilov 2.00/Hura 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 00:45A. Shypilov5612111111113O. Hura5414913992
WSep 30 · 21:45A. Shypilov51137119113O. Hura46111181152
LSep 30 · 00:45A. Shypilov391091281O. Hura44121110113
LSep 27 · 06:35A. Shypilov35118791O. Hura4291111113
WSep 26 · 19:05A. Shypilov4411611163O. Hura428119141
WSep 24 · 20:15A. Shypilov49151111123O. Hura431779101
LSep 21 · 04:55A. Shypilov188370O. Hura331111113
WSep 17 · 00:45A. Shypilov48117118113O. Hura4791171192
WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov4312119113O. Hura371071191
LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov31711851O. Hura4111811113
A. Shypilov10
LOct 2 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.8311119121V. Vlasenko1.8313711143WOct 2 · 00:45A. Shypilov2.2012111111113O. Hura1.6114913992LOct 1 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.20114891M. Smyrnov1.6181111113WOct 1 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.7512811113R. Lazebnyi1.401011971LOct 1 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.80117551O. Mitla1.9191111113LOct 1 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91711100V. Vlasenko1.801113123LOct 1 · 00:45A. Shypilov2.00118981O. Mitla1.7391111113WSep 30 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10111211113M. Smyrnov1.67614241WSep 30 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.00137119113O. Hura1.73111181152LSep 30 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.0010890N. Kovalchuk1.731211113
O. Hura10
WOct 4 · 11:35O. Hura1.671411811123O. Mitla2.10167114102LOct 4 · 09:35V. Plishylo1.61511711113O. Hura2.2011711992WOct 4 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.57981181O. Hura2.2511117113WOct 4 · 06:35O. Hura1.831311113Y. Shmyndra1.8311790LOct 4 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1011117113O. Hura1.67631191LOct 3 · 19:05M. Smyrnov2.1011611113O. Hura1.67511671LOct 3 · 17:35O. Hura2.25115951N. Kovalchuk1.5791111113LOct 3 · 15:35V. Plishylo2.0091112113O. Hura1.731171071LOct 2 · 00:45A. Shypilov2.2012111111113O. Hura1.6114913992LSep 30 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.00137119113O. Hura1.73111181152
Upcoming Matches
A. Shypilov
Oct 5 · 21:30A. Shypilov1.91Y. Shmyndra1.80—Oct 5 · 23:00A. Shypilov2.63R. Lazebnyi1.44—Oct 6 · 00:30A. Shypilov1.91V. Vlasenko1.80—Oct 6 · 02:00A. Shypilov2.10M. Smyrnov1.67—Oct 6 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.80O. Mitla1.91—Oct 6 · 21:45A. Shypilov1.91N. Kovalchuk1.80—Oct 6 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.63R. Lazebnyi1.44—Oct 7 · 00:45A. Shypilov1.91V. Vlasenko1.80—Oct 7 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.10M. Smyrnov1.67—
O. Hura
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