Mariusz Leczycki vs Henryk Tkaczyk 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 5Finished

Mariusz Leczycki

Home

2.63

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711911811––––

Henryk Tkaczyk

Away

1.44

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%

Graded at full time

Henryk Tkaczyk to win

64.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMariusz Leczycki above · Henryk Tkaczyk below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 57 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Henryk Tkaczyk at 64.5%

57 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:03

64.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 4.8pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Tkaczyk

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Leczycki 1340 vs Tkaczyk 1526

Tkaczyk

Correct

both rated, 186 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Leczycki 40% vs Tkaczyk 60%

Tkaczyk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Leczycki 40% vs Tkaczyk 80%

Tkaczyk

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Leczycki +1 · Tkaczyk -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Tkaczyk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLeczycki 2.625 / Tkaczyk 1.444

Signal prob.36% / 65%

Edge (Tkaczyk)-4.8pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13244309

Leczycki2.63

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Tkaczyk1.44

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite70% won 412 of 592

Up 2–0, closes it93% 230 of 247

Up 1–0, closes it85% 316 of 371

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricLeczyckiTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 14 vs 1023 / 150150%68.2%7 / 14 vs 1023 / 1501Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Tkaczyk

Leczycki 2.63/Tkaczyk 1.44

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

64.5%

Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Tkaczyk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Leczycki10