TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Dousek vs Tadeas Zika 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117611119911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Tomas Dousek at 57.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 54–34 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 34 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:1857.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dousek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
54-34 in 88
Dousek
Wrong
gap of 20 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1876 vs Zika 1760
Dousek
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 80% vs Zika 20%
Dousek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 70% vs Zika 30%
Dousek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +2 · Zika -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Dousek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.666 / Zika 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Dousek)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13242546
Dousek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 01)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 116 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it76% 85 of 112
Zika2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 299 of 646
Down 0–1, comes back27% 87 of 323
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek8wins
AwayZika2wins
8 of 10 to a deciderDousek leads 8–2, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek100%3 of 3
AwayZika28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Dousek7Zika3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S3Dousek7Zika3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S4Dousek5Zika4n = 9Dousek took 5 of 9
S5Dousek6Zika2n = 8Dousek took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekZikaD − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match46.443.8+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 499 vs 805 / 174653.1%46.1%265 / 499 vs 805 / 1746Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DousekDousek 1.67/Zika 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 18:30T. Dousek46141011113T. Zika391212691
WSep 30 · 16:00T. Dousek48711118113T. Zika4311391192
LSep 29 · 19:00T. Dousek49712111272T. Zika551110914113
WSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek50911117123T. Zika47119611102
WSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek46741113113T. Zika48111191162
WSep 16 · 19:00T. Dousek48811117113T. Zika4211581172
WSep 16 · 14:30T. Dousek361114113T. Zika2781270
LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek4461181182T. Zika47117117113
WSep 5 · 15:30T. Dousek55814913113T. Zika531112111182
WSep 3 · 11:30T. Dousek42114511113T. Zika3721111942
T. Dousek10
LOct 5 · 19:00R. Revay1.7381111123T. Dousek2.001198101WOct 1 · 17:30J. Pilch2.206850T. Dousek1.601111113WOct 1 · 16:00T. Dousek1.67111111113T. Zika2.10138991LOct 1 · 15:30J. Pilch2.38111158113T. Dousek1.5379111172WOct 1 · 14:00T. Dousek1.8011113113R. Polasek1.91851131WSep 30 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.65119117112T. Dousek2.10411611133LSep 30 · 20:00R. Revay1.6711511113T. Dousek2.10411571WSep 30 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.6111561182T. Dousek2.20511118113WSep 30 · 18:30T. Dousek1.67141011113T. Zika2.101212691LSep 30 · 17:30T. Dousek1.63116114102M. Navedla2.13611711123
T. Zika10
WOct 5 · 19:30T. Zika1.801111113M. Vavrecka1.919880LOct 5 · 16:59T. Zika3.256380J. Dzida1.331111113WOct 5 · 16:30J. Dzida1.3356110T. Zika3.251111133LOct 5 · 15:30T. Zika1.831161191O. Paril1.8391113113LOct 5 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.5711811113T. Zika2.25711991LOct 1 · 16:59T. Zika1.8011471192R. Polasek1.91811117113LOct 1 · 16:00T. Dousek1.67111111113T. Zika2.10138991WOct 1 · 15:00R. Polasek1.91511111102T. Zika1.80116119123LOct 1 · 14:30T. Zika1.831271161J. Pilch1.8314116113LSep 30 · 18:30T. Dousek1.67141011113T. Zika2.101212691
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousek
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T. Zika
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