TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Dousek vs Tadeas Zika 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118119119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Tomas Dousek at 57.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 54–34 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 34 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:5857.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dousek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
54-34 in 88
Dousek
Correct
gap of 20 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1855 vs Zika 1784
Dousek
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 60% vs Zika 40%
Dousek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 60% vs Zika 30%
Dousek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek -1 · Zika +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Dousek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.666 / Zika 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Dousek)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222523
Dousek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 113 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it76% 83 of 110
Zika2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 302 of 657
Down 0–1, comes back27% 89 of 331
Down 0–2, comes back8% 13 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek8wins
AwayZika2wins
8 of 10 to a deciderDousek leads 8–2, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek100%3 of 3
AwayZika28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Dousek7Zika3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S3Dousek7Zika3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S4Dousek5Zika4n = 9Dousek took 5 of 9
S5Dousek6Zika2n = 8Dousek took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekZikaD − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match46.443.8+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 499 vs 810 / 175653.1%46.1%265 / 499 vs 810 / 1756Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DousekDousek 1.67/Zika 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 18:30T. Dousek46141011113T. Zika391212691
WSep 30 · 16:00T. Dousek48711118113T. Zika4311391192
LSep 29 · 19:00T. Dousek49712111272T. Zika551110914113
WSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek50911117123T. Zika47119611102
WSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek46741113113T. Zika48111191162
WSep 16 · 19:00T. Dousek48811117113T. Zika4211581172
WSep 16 · 14:30T. Dousek361114113T. Zika2781270
LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek4461181182T. Zika47117117113
WSep 5 · 15:30T. Dousek55814913113T. Zika531112111182
WSep 3 · 11:30T. Dousek42114511113T. Zika3721111942
T. Dousek10
LOct 1 · 15:30J. Pilch2.38111158113T. Dousek1.5379111172WOct 1 · 14:00T. Dousek1.8011113113R. Polasek1.91851131WSep 30 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.65119117112T. Dousek2.10411611133LSep 30 · 20:00R. Revay1.6711511113T. Dousek2.10411571WSep 30 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.6111561182T. Dousek2.20511118113WSep 30 · 18:30T. Dousek1.67141011113T. Zika2.101212691LSep 30 · 17:30T. Dousek1.63116114102M. Navedla2.13611711123WSep 30 · 16:00T. Dousek1.61711118113T. Zika2.2011391192LSep 30 · 15:30M. Navedla2.38128115123T. Dousek1.531011511102WSep 30 · 14:00T. Dousek1.531211113J. Pilch2.3810660
T. Zika10
WOct 1 · 15:00R. Polasek1.91511111102T. Zika1.80116119123LOct 1 · 14:30T. Zika1.831271161J. Pilch1.8314116113WOct 1 · 12:58P. Wawrosz1.67115561T. Zika2.1091111113LOct 1 · 12:30T. Zika1.8038110P. Wawrosz1.911111133LOct 1 · 11:00T. Zika1.9113915992O. Paril1.8011111311113LOct 1 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.571111113T. Zika2.259960LSep 30 · 20:59T. Zika1.8311129862R. Revay1.837101111113LSep 30 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.4411611113T. Zika2.63611271LSep 30 · 18:30T. Dousek1.67141011113T. Zika2.101212691LSep 30 · 16:00T. Dousek1.61711118113T. Zika2.2011391192
Upcoming Matches
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