TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tadeas Zika vs Pavel Wawrosz 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3118111113––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 57 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 31–30 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 30 of their 61 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:1954.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zika
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
31-30 in 61
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1787 vs Wawrosz 1763
Zika
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 20% vs Wawrosz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 30% vs Wawrosz 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -4 · Wawrosz -2
Zika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Zika) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.80 / Wawrosz 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zika)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222521
Zika1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 83 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 79
Wawrosz1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 50 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika5wins
AwayWawrosz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika60%3 of 5
AwayWawrosz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Zika5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Zika6Wawrosz4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S4Zika6Wawrosz2n = 8Zika took 6 of 8
S5Zika0Wawrosz3n = 3Wawrosz took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaWawroszZ − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.0+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime808 / 1754 vs 232 / 46346.1%50.1%808 / 1754 vs 232 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaZika 1.80/Wawrosz 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 09:30T. Zika4491311113P. Wawrosz381111971
LSep 25 · 06:00T. Zika28101080P. Wawrosz351212113
LSep 23 · 11:30T. Zika371110791P. Wawrosz4061211113
LSep 18 · 10:30T. Zika50912711112P. Wawrosz541110119133
LSep 18 · 06:00T. Zika49129111072P. Wawrosz521011812113
WSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika4291111113P. Wawrosz34118871
WSep 4 · 09:00T. Zika4415711113P. Wawrosz381311771
LSep 4 · 07:00T. Zika3651151142P. Wawrosz47116118113
WSep 2 · 06:30T. Zika331111113P. Wawrosz217680
WAug 26 · 20:58T. Zika4011711113P. Wawrosz31911651
T. Zika10
WOct 1 · 12:58P. Wawrosz1.67115561T. Zika2.1091111113LOct 1 · 11:00T. Zika1.9113915992O. Paril1.8011111311113LOct 1 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.571111113T. Zika2.259960LSep 30 · 20:59T. Zika1.8311129862R. Revay1.837101111113LSep 30 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.4411611113T. Zika2.63611271WSep 30 · 19:30T. Zika1.731313113R. Revay2.00111180LSep 30 · 18:30T. Dousek1.67141011113T. Zika2.101212691WSep 30 · 17:11T. Zika1.441112113J. Pilch2.6331060LSep 30 · 16:00T. Dousek1.61711118113T. Zika2.2011391192WSep 30 · 15:00J. Pilch1.80512381T. Zika1.91111011113
P. Wawrosz10
LOct 1 · 12:58P. Wawrosz1.67115561T. Zika2.1091111113LOct 1 · 11:30P. Wawrosz2.7581171272J. Szotkowski1.401131110113LOct 1 · 10:30O. Paril1.8012117113P. Wawrosz1.911091191WSep 27 · 16:58J. Pilch1.736780P. Wawrosz2.001111113LSep 27 · 16:30J. Pilch1.73111112123P. Wawrosz2.007514101LSep 27 · 15:30P. Wawrosz1.9161111642O. Paril1.80118611113LSep 27 · 14:30M. Biolek2.201111113P. Wawrosz1.617450LSep 25 · 09:30T. Zika1.8091311113P. Wawrosz1.911111971LSep 25 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.739840M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 25 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.80611119113R. Revay1.9111881142
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