TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Wawrosz vs Ondrej Paril 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118116611411
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 85 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 24–22 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:06What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Paril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-22 in 46
Wawrosz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1778 vs Paril 1912
Paril
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 40% vs Paril 80%
Paril
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 50% vs Paril 80%
Paril
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz -3 · Paril +2
Wawrosz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paril)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.91 / Paril 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Paril)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200541
Wawrosz1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 49 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Paril1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 164 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it76% 123 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz4wins
AwayParil6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderParil leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz40%2 of 5
AwayParil60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S2Wawrosz5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S3Wawrosz4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz5Paril4n = 9Wawrosz took 5 of 9
S5Wawrosz1Paril3n = 4Paril took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszParilW − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.2−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszParilBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 458 vs 509 / 97550.4%52.2%231 / 458 vs 509 / 975Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilWawrosz 1.91/Paril 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 13:30P. Wawrosz4211119113O. Paril32881151
LSep 11 · 10:00P. Wawrosz4311128572O. Paril474101111113
WSep 4 · 08:30P. Wawrosz44471111113O. Paril3911118362
LAug 26 · 18:30P. Wawrosz4141181532O. Paril521161113113
LAug 23 · 14:00P. Wawrosz310121181O. Paril4311147113
WAug 12 · 18:30P. Wawrosz4011117113O. Paril35691191
LAug 12 · 14:00P. Wawrosz25116171O. Paril4181111113
LAug 9 · 10:00P. Wawrosz4011611662O. Paril40211511113
WAug 8 · 20:30P. Wawrosz46111111133O. Paril401379111
LAug 8 · 15:00P. Wawrosz229670O. Paril331111113
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 27 · 14:30M. Biolek2.201111113P. Wawrosz1.617450LSep 25 · 09:30T. Zika1.8091311113P. Wawrosz1.911111971LSep 25 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.739840M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 25 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.80611119113R. Revay1.9111881142WSep 25 · 06:00T. Zika1.67101080P. Wawrosz2.101212113WSep 23 · 12:59M. Navedla2.003111171P. Wawrosz1.7311135113LSep 23 · 12:00P. Wawrosz1.8389100J. Pilch1.831111123WSep 23 · 11:30T. Zika1.831110791P. Wawrosz1.8361211113LSep 23 · 10:00P. Wawrosz1.734760M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 19 · 21:30M. Vavrecka1.904116121P. Wawrosz1.8011511143
O. Paril10
LSep 27 · 16:00O. Paril2.00611111042M. Biolek1.73119512113WSep 27 · 14:00O. Paril1.671111113J. Pilch2.102940WSep 25 · 17:30O. Paril1.9071111113M. Biolek1.80112841LSep 25 · 16:00M. Biolek1.73119118113O. Paril2.0081171172WSep 25 · 15:00J. Dzida1.731191171O. Paril2.0031113113WSep 25 · 14:30O. Paril2.101111113M. Cabis1.674770WSep 23 · 09:05R. Revay2.07111011592O. Paril1.67412311113WSep 23 · 08:30O. Paril1.711311117113T. Zika2.00117131192LSep 23 · 07:00O. Paril1.75115141182R. Polasek1.95611164113WSep 23 · 06:00R. Revay2.001111121072O. Paril1.711361012113
Upcoming Matches
P. Wawrosz
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O. Paril
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