TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Paril vs Martin Biolek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111191151012411
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:37 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 90 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 32–33 Martin Biolek Ondrej Paril has won 32 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:37What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-33 in 65
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1919 vs Biolek 1854
Paril
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 80% vs Biolek 40%
Paril
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 80% vs Biolek 40%
Paril
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril +3 · Biolek -1
Paril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 2.00 / Biolek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Biolek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200724
Paril2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 114 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back25% 33 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Biolek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite52% won 112 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it90% 52 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it71% 82 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil4wins
AwayBiolek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePariln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBiolek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril2Biolek8n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S2Paril6Biolek4n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S3Paril5Biolek5n = 10split evenly
S4Paril4Biolek2n = 6Paril took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilBiolekP − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.435.3−0.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime510 / 976 vs 246 / 44352.3%55.5%510 / 976 vs 246 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekParil 2.00/Biolek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 17:30O. Paril4071111113M. Biolek25112841
LSep 25 · 16:00O. Paril4481171172M. Biolek50119118113
WSep 21 · 16:59O. Paril341111123M. Biolek2073100
LSep 21 · 16:30O. Paril2361160M. Biolek351113113
LSep 15 · 18:00O. Paril4591111772M. Biolek50119811113
LSep 6 · 20:58O. Paril2410950M. Biolek341211113
LSep 6 · 20:00O. Paril367101181M. Biolek4211128113
WSep 5 · 13:29O. Paril4171211113M. Biolek331110661
WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril4011116123M. Biolek315511101
LSep 1 · 15:30O. Paril178360M. Biolek331111113
O. Paril10
WSep 27 · 15:30P. Wawrosz1.9161111642O. Paril1.80118611113WSep 27 · 14:00O. Paril1.671111113J. Pilch2.102940WSep 25 · 17:30O. Paril1.9071111113M. Biolek1.80112841LSep 25 · 16:00M. Biolek1.73119118113O. Paril2.0081171172WSep 25 · 15:00J. Dzida1.731191171O. Paril2.0031113113WSep 25 · 14:30O. Paril2.101111113M. Cabis1.674770WSep 23 · 09:05R. Revay2.07111011592O. Paril1.67412311113WSep 23 · 08:30O. Paril1.711311117113T. Zika2.00117131192LSep 23 · 07:00O. Paril1.75115141182R. Polasek1.95611164113WSep 23 · 06:00R. Revay2.001111121072O. Paril1.711361012113
M. Biolek10
LSep 27 · 15:00J. Pilch2.50661111113M. Biolek1.5011119892WSep 27 · 14:30M. Biolek2.201111113P. Wawrosz1.617450LSep 25 · 17:30O. Paril1.9071111113M. Biolek1.80112841WSep 25 · 16:00M. Biolek1.73119118113O. Paril2.0081171172LSep 25 · 15:30M. Cabis2.381512113M. Biolek1.53131070WSep 25 · 14:00M. Biolek1.911111113J. Dzida1.805890WSep 24 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.608750M. Biolek2.201111113LSep 24 · 16:30M. Biolek1.4041511832T. Zika2.751113811113LSep 24 · 15:00M. Biolek2.00119931J. Szotkowski1.7341111113LSep 24 · 14:00R. Niezgoda1.85591113113M. Biolek1.85111151132
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