TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tadeas Zika vs Ondrej Paril 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196111113911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Ondrej Paril at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 76–89 Ondrej Paril Tadeas Zika has won 76 of their 165 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Paril
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
76-89 in 165
Paril
Correct
gap of 13 in 165, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1756 vs Paril 1879
Paril
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 20% vs Paril 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 20% vs Paril 50%
Paril
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -3 · Paril +1
Zika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Paril) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.833 / Paril 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Paril)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13243852
Zika1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Paril1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika5wins
AwayParil5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika50%3 of 6
AwayParil50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika6Paril4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Zika5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S3Zika6Paril4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S4Zika4Paril4n = 8split evenly
S5Zika1Paril2n = 3Paril took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaParilZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.8+2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaParilBasisWin rate · lifetime804 / 1743 vs 509 / 97946.1%52%804 / 1743 vs 509 / 979Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ParilZika 1.83/Paril 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 08:30T. Zika51117131192O. Paril531311117113
WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika4313811113O. Paril371111781
LSep 4 · 06:30T. Zika4813911782O. Paril471111311113
WSep 1 · 14:30T. Zika4181111113O. Paril23113631
WSep 1 · 13:28T. Zika45711511113O. Paril4411511982
WSep 1 · 12:30T. Zika331111113O. Paril249780
LAug 31 · 20:00T. Zika316131021O. Paril45111112113
WAug 27 · 11:00T. Zika331111113O. Paril216870
LAug 26 · 20:00T. Zika401378121O. Paril47111111143
LAug 26 · 08:58T. Zika37119981O. Paril3741111113
T. Zika10
LOct 5 · 16:59T. Zika3.256380J. Dzida1.331111113WOct 5 · 16:30J. Dzida1.3356110T. Zika3.251111133LOct 5 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.5711811113T. Zika2.25711991LOct 1 · 16:59T. Zika1.8011471192R. Polasek1.91811117113LOct 1 · 16:00T. Dousek1.67111111113T. Zika2.10138991WOct 1 · 15:00R. Polasek1.91511111102T. Zika1.80116119123LOct 1 · 14:30T. Zika1.831271161J. Pilch1.8314116113WOct 1 · 12:58P. Wawrosz1.67115561T. Zika2.1091111113LOct 1 · 12:30T. Zika1.8038110P. Wawrosz1.911111133LOct 1 · 11:00T. Zika1.9113915992O. Paril1.8011111311113
O. Paril10
LOct 5 · 16:00O. Paril2.10612751J. Szotkowski1.67111011113WOct 5 · 14:00O. Paril2.251111113J. Dzida1.574850LOct 4 · 20:59J. Dzida1.67117811113O. Paril2.1081111862LOct 4 · 20:00J. Dzida1.6711811113O. Paril2.10411871LOct 4 · 19:00R. Niezgoda1.226111111113O. Paril4.0011137592LOct 4 · 18:30O. Paril2.508750D. Opanasiuk1.501111113WOct 4 · 17:30O. Paril1.8011211113R. Revay1.91711971WOct 4 · 16:30O. Paril3.251115113M. Biolek1.3381340WOct 4 · 15:00O. Paril1.91111187113R. Revay1.8019111142WOct 1 · 11:00T. Zika1.9113915992O. Paril1.8011111311113
Upcoming Matches
T. Zika
Oct 5 · 18:30T. Zika2.10T. Dousek1.67—Oct 5 · 19:30T. Zika1.67M. Vavrecka2.10—Oct 5 · 20:30T. Zika1.80R. Revay1.91—Oct 6 · 10:30T. Zika2.10J. Szotkowski1.67—Oct 6 · 11:30T. Zika2.50M. Sedlacek1.50—Oct 6 · 12:30T. Zika1.73R. Polasek2.00—Oct 6 · 14:30T. Zika2.10J. Szotkowski1.67—Oct 6 · 15:00T. Zika2.63M. Biolek1.44—Oct 6 · 16:00T. Zika1.80O. Paril1.91—
O. Paril
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