TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Obishchenko vs Oleh Kuzyshyn 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111317151214911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 102 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 62.5%
102 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:4962.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1659 vs Kuzyshyn 1669
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 60% vs Kuzyshyn 40%
Obishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 70% vs Kuzyshyn 50%
Obishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +1 · Kuzyshyn -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Kuzyshyn) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 2.50 / Kuzyshyn 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240836
Obishchenko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 5 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Kuzyshyn1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it79% 53 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 144 vs 237 / 44752.1%53%75 / 144 vs 237 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynObishchenko 2.50/Kuzyshyn 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzyshyn won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Obishchenko10
WOct 4 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.677111411113O. Varlamov2.10119121372LOct 4 · 05:58A. Obishchenko2.6396110A. Droshchynskyi1.441111133LOct 4 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.735111061Y. Holoborodko2.0011712113WSep 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.8384111352A. Obishchenko1.831111511113WSep 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251114113A. Troyan3.7581250WSep 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.831112133Y. Holoborodko1.83610110WSep 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.6111117113V. Ishchuk2.20351181LSep 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.4011881152O. Karpenko2.75111117113WSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960
O. Kuzyshyn10
LOct 4 · 08:00O. Kuzyshyn1.739101181A. Droshchynskyi2.0011124113LOct 4 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko1.611111113O. Kuzyshyn2.205550WOct 4 · 05:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401112113O. Varlamov2.7541020WOct 3 · 17:10A. Droshchynskyi1.91711761O. Kuzyshyn1.8011611113LOct 3 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.753111110113O. Kuzyshyn1.4011891292WOct 3 · 14:40R. Pomin2.0041111752O. Kuzyshyn1.73117711113WOct 3 · 12:40A. Zozulia2.5011380O. Kuzyshyn1.501311113LOct 3 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.731111113O. Kuzyshyn2.004380WSep 30 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.80911119113V. Merzlikin1.9111871192LSep 30 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.25119861I. Efimenko1.5791111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Obishchenko
Nothing scheduled
O. Kuzyshyn
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