TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Pomin vs Oleh Kuzyshyn 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411117117711511
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 85 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 54.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 6–6 Oleh Kuzyshyn Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2754.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1593 vs Kuzyshyn 1682
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 40% vs Kuzyshyn 60%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 40% vs Kuzyshyn 80%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin -1 · Kuzyshyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kuzyshyn) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 2.00 / Kuzyshyn 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13235184
Pomin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 12 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Kuzyshyn1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 63 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePomin6wins
AwayKuzyshyn4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPomin leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin71.4%5 of 7
AwayKuzyshyn66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin7Kuzyshyn3n = 10Pomin took 7 of 10
S2Pomin7Kuzyshyn3n = 10Pomin took 7 of 10
S3Pomin4Kuzyshyn5n = 9Kuzyshyn took 5 of 9
S4Pomin2Kuzyshyn2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPominKuzyshynP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match32.731.3+1.4per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 138 vs 234 / 44152.2%53.1%72 / 138 vs 234 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynPomin 2.00/Kuzyshyn 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 07:00R. Pomin341181051O. Kuzyshyn3951112113
LJul 18 · 14:40R. Pomin2341270O. Kuzyshyn361114113
WFeb 22 · 07:30R. Pomin341111123O. Kuzyshyn2798100
LFeb 14 · 16:40R. Pomin197660O. Kuzyshyn331111113
WJan 24 · 16:40R. Pomin331111113O. Kuzyshyn157260
WOct 25 · 14:10R. Pomin3911116113O. Kuzyshyn31491171
WOct 18 · 11:10R. Pomin341111123O. Kuzyshyn2899100
LOct 4 · 15:40R. Pomin3811117542O. Kuzyshyn43731111113
WSep 27 · 11:10R. Pomin4071111113O. Kuzyshyn30117391
R. Pomin10
LOct 3 · 15:40R. Pomin1.8331040A. Zozulia1.831112113LOct 3 · 13:10R. Pomin2.2011101031A. Droshchynskyi1.6141212113WOct 3 · 11:10R. Pomin1.611111113Y. Holoborodko2.205890LSep 20 · 11:00R. Pomin1.61127121192Y. Holoborodko2.201411108113WSep 20 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi1.6111121171R. Pomin2.2013146113LSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn2.0051112113R. Pomin1.731181051WSep 20 · 05:30R. Pomin2.20117911113M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111252LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682
O. Kuzyshyn10
WOct 3 · 12:40A. Zozulia2.5011380O. Kuzyshyn1.501311113LOct 3 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.731111113O. Kuzyshyn2.004380WSep 30 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.80911119113V. Merzlikin1.9111871192LSep 30 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.25119861I. Efimenko1.5791111113WSep 30 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6791111123M. Tiutiunnyk2.101149101WSep 30 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.441213113Y. Holoborodko2.63101180WSep 30 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113D. Habrelyan2.759850WSep 23 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.5011117113O. Zhyrnov1.50841191WSep 23 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731211113M. Tiutiunnyk2.0010290WSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn2.0051112113R. Pomin1.731181051
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