TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Droshchynskyi vs Oleh Kuzyshyn 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116711611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:04 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 5–8 Oleh Kuzyshyn Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:0454.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Kuzyshyn
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1736 vs Kuzyshyn 1674
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 100% vs Kuzyshyn 60%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 80% vs Kuzyshyn 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +8 · Kuzyshyn -1
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Droshchynskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.909 / Kuzyshyn 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13234482
Droshchynskyi1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 17 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Kuzyshyn1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 63 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi3wins
AwayKuzyshyn7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayKuzyshyn85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi3Kuzyshyn7n = 10Kuzyshyn took 7 of 10
S2Droshchynskyi5Kuzyshyn5n = 10split evenly
S3Droshchynskyi4Kuzyshyn6n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S4Droshchynskyi1Kuzyshyn4n = 5Kuzyshyn took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiKuzyshynD − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.136.0−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 240 vs 235 / 44358.8%53.1%141 / 240 vs 235 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.91/Kuzyshyn 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 10:30A. Droshchynskyi531012119113O. Kuzyshyn45121051172
LSep 19 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi34861551O. Kuzyshyn46111113113
WSep 6 · 07:00A. Droshchynskyi3811115113O. Kuzyshyn28761141
LAug 22 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi30711571O. Kuzyshyn4211911113
WJul 25 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi331111113O. Kuzyshyn196490
LJul 18 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi46111167112O. Kuzyshyn45461111133
LMay 14 · 18:20A. Droshchynskyi187380O. Kuzyshyn331111113
LMay 3 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi169430O. Kuzyshyn331111113
LApr 11 · 12:20A. Droshchynskyi218670O. Kuzyshyn331111113
A. Droshchynskyi10
WOct 3 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.008111151A. Droshchynskyi1.7311138113WOct 3 · 14:10A. Droshchynskyi1.3091411113Y. Holoborodko3.401112941WOct 3 · 13:10R. Pomin2.2011101031A. Droshchynskyi1.6141212113WOct 3 · 11:40A. Droshchynskyi1.7311117143A. Zozulia2.007311121WSep 27 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711911113Y. Makovka4.50511761WSep 27 · 09:00O. Blashkun2.638880A. Droshchynskyi1.441111113WSep 27 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.3011119113O. Varlamov3.40951131WSep 27 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko1.80911128102A. Droshchynskyi1.911191011123LSep 27 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83991161O. Zhyrnov1.8311117113LSep 26 · 16:40A. Droshchynskyi1.44481151V. Ishchuk2.6311114113
O. Kuzyshyn10
LOct 3 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.753111110113O. Kuzyshyn1.4011891292WOct 3 · 14:40R. Pomin2.0041111752O. Kuzyshyn1.73117711113WOct 3 · 12:40A. Zozulia2.5011380O. Kuzyshyn1.501311113LOct 3 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.731111113O. Kuzyshyn2.004380WSep 30 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.80911119113V. Merzlikin1.9111871192LSep 30 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.25119861I. Efimenko1.5791111113WSep 30 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6791111123M. Tiutiunnyk2.101149101WSep 30 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.441213113Y. Holoborodko2.63101180WSep 30 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113D. Habrelyan2.759850WSep 23 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.5011117113O. Zhyrnov1.50841191
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