TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Vlasenko vs Oleksii Mitla 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:02 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 43–44 Oleksii Mitla Valerii Vlasenko has won 43 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:0254.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mitla
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
43-44 in 87
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1536 vs Mitla 1550
Mitla
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 60% vs Mitla 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 50% vs Mitla 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko +3 · Mitla +2
Vlasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mitla) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 1.833 / Mitla 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mitla)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13240510
Vlasenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Mitla1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko4wins
AwayMitla6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko60%3 of 5
AwayMitla80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S2Vlasenko6Mitla4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S3Vlasenko3Mitla7n = 10Mitla took 7 of 10
S4Vlasenko6Mitla1n = 7Vlasenko took 6 of 7
S5Vlasenko0Mitla4n = 4Mitla took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoMitlaV − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.4−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 934 vs 366 / 83943.8%43.6%409 / 934 vs 366 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaVlasenko 1.83/Mitla 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 00:15V. Vlasenko226970O. Mitla331111113
WSep 30 · 22:45V. Vlasenko331111113O. Mitla259790
LSep 30 · 00:15V. Vlasenko4713811872O. Mitla521111811113
LSep 25 · 22:30V. Vlasenko4141191162O. Mitla46117116113
LSep 24 · 22:45V. Vlasenko146440O. Mitla331111113
LSep 21 · 05:25V. Vlasenko4761751272O. Mitla5811151110113
WSep 17 · 22:45V. Vlasenko4491112123O. Mitla3711610101
WSep 15 · 22:45V. Vlasenko43111110113O. Mitla33391291
WSep 13 · 06:35V. Vlasenko4211119113O. Mitla27551161
LSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko4811991272O. Mitla507111110113
V. Vlasenko10
WOct 4 · 07:05V. Plishylo1.287750V. Vlasenko3.501111113WOct 4 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1011117113O. Hura1.67631191WOct 2 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.8311119121V. Vlasenko1.8313711143LOct 2 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.1081111672M. Smyrnov1.67115311113LOct 2 · 00:15V. Vlasenko1.836970O. Mitla1.831111113LOct 1 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10111191142O. Hura1.67137117113LOct 1 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.6311711732R. Lazebnyi1.44611811113WOct 1 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91711100V. Vlasenko1.801113123LOct 1 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.001151181M. Smyrnov1.7313114113WOct 1 · 00:15V. Vlasenko2.20611118123N. Kovalchuk1.61119911102
O. Mitla10
WOct 4 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.44911111142O. Mitla2.63111194163WOct 4 · 05:05V. Plishylo1.73714771O. Mitla2.00111211113LOct 3 · 18:05O. Mitla2.3811815101Y. Shmyndra1.5361117123WOct 3 · 16:35O. Mitla2.101141111113V. Plishylo1.6771181362LOct 3 · 15:05O. Mitla1.9171280M. Smyrnov1.801114113WOct 3 · 13:35O. Mitla1.571181111113O. Hura2.2571113752LOct 3 · 12:05O. Mitla2.7521111262N. Kovalchuk1.40118511113LOct 2 · 02:45O. Hura1.73817114113O. Mitla2.00111561182LOct 2 · 01:45R. Lazebnyi1.367121211113O. Mitla3.00111014572WOct 2 · 00:15V. Vlasenko1.836970O. Mitla1.831111113
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