TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Plishylo vs Valerii Vlasenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711511––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:02 and never touched: 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Plishylo to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Volodymyr Plishylo at 76.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 19–6 Valerii Vlasenko Valerii Vlasenko has won 6 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:0276.6%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 1.2pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Plishylo
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-6 in 25
Plishylo
Wrong
gap of 13 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1587 vs Vlasenko 1536
Plishylo
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 40% vs Vlasenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 50% vs Vlasenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo -1 · Vlasenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Plishylo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 1.285 / Vlasenko 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Plishylo)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240222
Plishylo1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 21 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Vlasenko3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 123 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo8wins
AwayVlasenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlishylo leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylo100%5 of 5
AwayVlasenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Plishylo6Vlasenko4n = 10Plishylo took 6 of 10
S3Plishylo6Vlasenko4n = 10Plishylo took 6 of 10
S4Plishylo7Vlasenko1n = 8Plishylo took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloVlasenkoP − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.431.4+8.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 620 vs 409 / 93442.7%43.8%265 / 620 vs 409 / 934Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PlishyloPlishylo 1.28/Vlasenko 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Plishylo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 4 · 07:05V. Plishylo197750V. Vlasenko331111113
WApr 19 · 11:05V. Plishylo4111118113V. Vlasenko26461151
WApr 18 · 01:00V. Plishylo3851111113V. Vlasenko25115541
LOct 11 · 15:05V. Plishylo4551191192V. Vlasenko46119114113
WOct 10 · 21:00V. Plishylo4112711113V. Vlasenko341011761
WOct 4 · 15:05V. Plishylo331111113V. Vlasenko157440
WSep 13 · 01:00V. Plishylo5511111111113V. Vlasenko4013413552
WAug 2 · 15:05V. Plishylo4691111153V. Vlasenko361166131
WJul 27 · 08:35V. Plishylo3711411113V. Vlasenko28311951
V. Plishylo10
LOct 4 · 05:05V. Plishylo1.73714771O. Mitla2.00111211113WOct 3 · 18:35V. Plishylo2.00117119113N. Kovalchuk1.7361191172LOct 3 · 16:35O. Mitla2.101141111113V. Plishylo1.6771181362WOct 3 · 15:35V. Plishylo2.0091112113O. Hura1.731171071LOct 3 · 14:35Y. Shmyndra2.00111110113V. Plishylo1.73481281WOct 3 · 13:05V. Plishylo1.3031313113M. Smyrnov3.4011111121LSep 12 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.7387111492Y. Kravets2.001111512113WSep 12 · 09:05V. Plishylo2.00781111113I. Romaniak1.7311111482WSep 12 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.00141179113N. Kovalchuk1.73128111182LSep 12 · 06:05V. Plishylo2.20481191R. Lazebnyi1.6111116113
V. Vlasenko10
WOct 4 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1011117113O. Hura1.67631191WOct 2 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.8311119121V. Vlasenko1.8313711143LOct 2 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.1081111672M. Smyrnov1.67115311113LOct 2 · 00:15V. Vlasenko1.836970O. Mitla1.831111113LOct 1 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10111191142O. Hura1.67137117113LOct 1 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.6311711732R. Lazebnyi1.44611811113WOct 1 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91711100V. Vlasenko1.801113123LOct 1 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.001151181M. Smyrnov1.7313114113WOct 1 · 00:15V. Vlasenko2.20611118123N. Kovalchuk1.61119911102WSep 30 · 22:45V. Vlasenko1.731111113O. Mitla2.009790
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