TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Cizek vs Radek Sedlacek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111191012611––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-6
Point 68 set 4, 6-6
68 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ales Cizek 2–2 Radek Sedlacek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cizek beat Sedlacek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 2.60 / Sedlacek 1.44
TT Cup · #13239605
Cizek2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 48
Sedlacek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 43 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeCizek2wins
AwaySedlacek2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek2Sedlacek2n = 4split evenly
S2Cizek3Sedlacek1n = 4Cizek took 3 of 4
S3Cizek3Sedlacek1n = 4Cizek took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricCizekSedlacekC − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.028.8+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 508 vs 163 / 34847.8%46.8%243 / 508 vs 163 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekCizek 2.60/Sedlacek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 3 · 15:10A. Cizek331111113R. Sedlacek136430
LAug 24 · 19:15A. Cizek33711781R. Sedlacek3711411113
WAug 18 · 11:45A. Cizek331111113R. Sedlacek217680
LJun 17 · 20:10A. Cizek378101271R. Sedlacek44111210113
A. Cizek10
LOct 3 · 16:10M. Raska2.101111810113A. Cizek1.6756111282WOct 3 · 15:10A. Cizek2.101111113R. Sedlacek1.676430WOct 3 · 13:40M. Moravec1.5791111582A. Cizek2.25117411113WSep 29 · 13:18A. Cizek1.831111113D. Pawlik1.837560WSep 29 · 12:10D. Pawlik2.003116111A. Cizek1.7311611133WSep 29 · 11:10A. Cizek2.5015118113M. Moravec1.501341191LSep 29 · 09:40E. Precek1.8011314113A. Cizek1.918111261LSep 27 · 16:39A. Cizek2.1067111122T. Molin1.67111169113LSep 27 · 16:15J. Volny2.201113113A. Cizek1.6181140LSep 27 · 15:15A. Cizek2.00911271L. Dzida1.7311711113
R. Sedlacek10
LOct 3 · 15:40M. Moravec1.80911148113R. Sedlacek1.91119121192LOct 3 · 15:10A. Cizek2.101111113R. Sedlacek1.676430LOct 3 · 14:10R. Sedlacek1.476101181M. Raska2.5011127113WOct 3 · 13:04A. Kanak1.9115681152R. Sedlacek1.801311115113WOct 3 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.67116611143A. Kanak2.10811115122WOct 3 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.57811511123J. Volny2.25119117102LOct 3 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.50911101172M. Raska2.50117128113WOct 2 · 08:50L. Lasota1.835111191R. Sedlacek1.8311613113LOct 2 · 07:45R. Sedlacek1.53611118102E. Precek2.38113811123LOct 2 · 06:45R. Sedlacek1.831155101L. Lasota1.8361111123
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