TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Franek vs Viktor Vejvoda 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118811118311
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:40 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Franek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Franek above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 90 set 5, 3-11 · our read held Tomas Franek at 59.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Franek 3–6 Viktor Vejvoda Tomas Franek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:4059.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 2.6pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Franek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Vejvoda
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Franek 1682 vs Vejvoda 1550
Franek
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franek 60% vs Vejvoda 0%
Franek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franek 60% vs Vejvoda 20%
Franek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Franek -1 · Vejvoda -7
Vejvoda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Franek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranek 1.615 / Vejvoda 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Franek)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13237838
Franek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 13 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it53% 8 of 15
Vejvoda2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeFranek3wins
AwayVejvoda6wins
1 of 9 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFranek33.3%1 of 3
AwayVejvoda66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Franek3Vejvoda6n = 9Vejvoda took 6 of 9
S2Franek5Vejvoda4n = 9Franek took 5 of 9
S3Franek5Vejvoda4n = 9Franek took 5 of 9
S4Franek2Vejvoda5n = 7Vejvoda took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricFranekVejvodaF − VBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match35.235.8−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranekVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 186 vs 465 / 89650%51.9%93 / 186 vs 465 / 896Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FranekFranek 1.61/Vejvoda 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Franek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 18 · 00:30T. Franek4291111113V. Vejvoda34119951
LSep 2 · 02:30T. Franek33761191V. Vejvoda3611113113
LJun 28 · 01:00T. Franek4381111672V. Vejvoda51119911113
LJun 24 · 02:00T. Franek351271061V. Vejvoda44101112113
LMay 14 · 10:00T. Franek32116781V. Vejvoda3961111113
WMay 14 · 07:00T. Franek4181111113V. Vejvoda28115571
LMay 12 · 22:30T. Franek2351080V. Vejvoda341112113
WMar 22 · 00:30T. Franek331111113V. Vejvoda177190
LMar 12 · 03:00T. Franek35811881V. Vejvoda3911611113
T. Franek10
LSep 27 · 03:30J. Tazler2.1561511113T. Franek1.631113761WSep 27 · 02:30T. Franek1.801111113M. Skakal1.916450LSep 27 · 01:30J. Tazler1.801211113T. Franek1.9110730WSep 27 · 00:00T. Franek1.73711711113M. Klement2.0011511562WSep 26 · 23:00M. Regner2.50815981T. Franek1.50111311113WSep 26 · 21:00T. Franek1.911111143O. Svacha1.8089120LSep 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.5311114143T. Franek2.386511121LSep 26 · 19:30T. Franek2.6381280J. Mecl Jr1.441114113WSep 26 · 18:30O. Svacha1.83146117102T. Franek1.831211811123WSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811
V. Vejvoda10
LOct 2 · 17:12M. Pikous1.431111113V. Vejvoda2.605940LOct 2 · 16:30J. Louda1.4411159123V. Vejvoda2.6331311101LOct 2 · 15:30V. Vejvoda2.63413761M. Pikous1.44111111113LOct 2 · 14:31R. Wagner1.461111113V. Vejvoda2.556880LSep 30 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.8331181192J. Zuzanek1.83115119113LSep 30 · 12:30M. Sychra2.10811175113V. Vejvoda1.67116151132LSep 30 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.6791151172A. Brazda2.10115117113WSep 30 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.73118991V. Vejvoda2.0071111113WSep 30 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.7381111992V. Vejvoda2.00116911113LSep 30 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.739570M. Sychra2.001111113
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