TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Franek vs Martin Skakal 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114115––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Franek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Franek above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 48 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Franek at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Franek 2–1 Martin Skakal Martin Skakal has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Franek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Franek 1708 vs Skakal 1673
Franek
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franek 60% vs Skakal 80%
Skakal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franek 50% vs Skakal 70%
Skakal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Franek -1 · Skakal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Franek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranek 1.80 / Skakal 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Franek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13195482
Franek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 10 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it50% 6 of 12
Skakal1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFranek2wins
AwaySkakal1wins
Franek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Franek2Skakal1n = 3Franek took 2 of 3
S2Franek3Skakal0n = 3Franek took 3 of 3
S3Franek1Skakal2n = 3Skakal took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFranekSkakalF − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.029.7+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranekSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 186 vs 86 / 16550.5%52.1%94 / 186 vs 86 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranekFranek 1.80/Skakal 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Franek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Franek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 27 · 02:30T. Franek331111113M. Skakal156450
WSep 17 · 22:00T. Franek4211137113M. Skakal326111141
LApr 28 · 23:00T. Franek30911821M. Skakal4211911113
T. Franek10
LSep 27 · 03:30J. Tazler2.1561511113T. Franek1.631113761LSep 27 · 01:30J. Tazler1.801211113T. Franek1.9110730WSep 27 · 00:00T. Franek1.73711711113M. Klement2.0011511562WSep 26 · 23:00M. Regner2.50815981T. Franek1.50111311113WSep 26 · 21:00T. Franek1.911111143O. Svacha1.8089120LSep 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.5311114143T. Franek2.386511121LSep 26 · 19:30T. Franek2.6381280J. Jr1.441114113WSep 26 · 18:30O. Svacha1.83146117102T. Franek1.831211811123WSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811LSep 24 · 02:30T. Franek1.839119101R. Wagner1.8311911123
M. Skakal10
WSep 27 · 03:00M. Klement2.101091151M. Skakal1.6712119113WSep 27 · 01:00M. Klement1.9110880M. Skakal1.801211113LSep 26 · 23:30M. Skakal1.576101191J. Tazler2.2511126113WSep 26 · 22:00M. Skakal1.571511113M. Regner2.2513580WSep 23 · 03:30M. Sychra1.736111251M. Skakal2.00111310113WSep 23 · 02:30M. Skakal1.91101111113M. Klement1.80128991WSep 23 · 01:30M. Regner2.10115481M. Skakal1.6741111113LSep 23 · 00:00M. Skakal2.00911871M. Sychra1.7311311113WSep 22 · 23:00V. Vejvoda1.803770M. Skakal1.911111113LSep 22 · 21:30M. Sychra1.801211113M. Skakal1.9010870
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