TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Skakal vs Michal Regner 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513115118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:44 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Martin Skakal at 58.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 7–4 Michal Regner Michal Regner has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:44What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Skakal
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1691 vs Regner 1618
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 80% vs Regner 60%
Skakal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 70% vs Regner 50%
Skakal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal +3 · Regner -1
Skakal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 1.57 / Regner 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skakal)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13193462
Skakal1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 23)
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Regner2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 111 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkakal6wins
AwayRegner4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkakal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkakal75%3 of 4
AwayRegner50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skakal4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Skakal8Regner2n = 10Skakal took 8 of 10
S3Skakal5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S4Skakal4Regner1n = 5Skakal took 4 of 5
S5Skakal1Regner2n = 3Regner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkakalRegnerS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.532.2+4.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 161 vs 516 / 106052.2%48.7%84 / 161 vs 516 / 1060Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSkakal 1.57/Regner 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 01:30M. Skakal3741111113M. Regner28115481
LSep 18 · 02:30M. Skakal47101191162M. Regner46124118113
LSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal48111179102M. Regner46661111123
WAug 23 · 22:00M. Skakal531411611113M. Regner4616911552
LAug 14 · 03:28M. Skakal2761380M. Regner371115113
WAug 14 · 00:30M. Skakal43101111113M. Regner31129461
WJul 19 · 00:30M. Skakal331111113M. Regner216690
LMay 24 · 03:30M. Skakal112540M. Regner331111113
WMay 24 · 02:30M. Skakal331111113M. Regner144640
WMay 19 · 00:30M. Skakal331111113M. Regner207850
M. Skakal10
WSep 23 · 03:30M. Sychra1.736111251M. Skakal2.00111310113WSep 23 · 02:30M. Skakal1.91101111113M. Klement1.80128991WSep 23 · 01:30M. Regner2.10115481M. Skakal1.6741111113LSep 23 · 00:00M. Skakal2.00911871M. Sychra1.7311311113WSep 22 · 23:00V. Vejvoda1.803770M. Skakal1.911111113LSep 22 · 21:30M. Sychra1.801211113M. Skakal1.9010870WSep 22 · 20:30S. Kasnik1.736480M. Skakal2.001111113WSep 22 · 19:30M. Skakal1.83111156113M. Vondrak1.8395111162LSep 22 · 18:30M. Sychra1.8011114113M. Skakal1.91791181WSep 18 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.577960M. Skakal2.251111113
M. Regner10
LSep 26 · 13:30M. Regner1.83811851M. Sopko1.8311911113WSep 26 · 12:30M. Regner1.5311118113M. Sopko2.38881161LSep 26 · 11:00M. Regner1.8386141172J. Zuzanek1.831111129113WSep 26 · 10:00J. Tazler1.80911111082M. Regner1.91118912113WSep 24 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.82911751M. Regner1.8811711113WSep 24 · 12:30M. Regner1.8311118113M. Klement1.83761171LSep 24 · 11:00M. Regner2.001011951V. Vejvoda1.7312911113WSep 24 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.8061111592M. Regner1.91117811113LSep 23 · 03:00M. Klement1.85591111113M. Regner1.8511117862LSep 23 · 01:30M. Regner2.10115481M. Skakal1.6741111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.