TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Tazler vs Tomas Franek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111513117116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:55 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Franek to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Tomas Franek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 80 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Franek at 54.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 3–0 Tomas Franek Tomas Franek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Tazler beat Franek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Franek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Tazler
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1741 vs Franek 1672
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 60% vs Franek 80%
Franek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 50% vs Franek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler +3 · Franek +1
Tazler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Franek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 2.15 / Franek 1.63
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Franek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13204771
Tazler2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 100 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 58
Franek1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 10 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it50% 6 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTazler3wins
AwayFranek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTazler leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler1Franek2n = 3Franek took 2 of 3
S2Tazler2Franek1n = 3Tazler took 2 of 3
S3Tazler3Franek0n = 3Tazler took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTazlerFranekT − FBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.734.7+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerFranekBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 743 vs 94 / 18754.6%50.3%406 / 743 vs 94 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranekTazler 2.15/Franek 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Franek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 27 · 03:30J. Tazler4361511113T. Franek371113761
WSep 27 · 01:30J. Tazler341211113T. Franek2010730
WSep 24 · 01:30J. Tazler48781111113T. Franek4711117992
J. Tazler10
WSep 27 · 01:30J. Tazler1.801211113T. Franek1.9110730WSep 27 · 00:30M. Regner1.80116981J. Tazler1.9181111113WSep 26 · 23:30M. Skakal1.576101191J. Tazler2.2511126113LSep 26 · 22:30J. Tazler1.80115291M. Klement1.9151111113LSep 26 · 13:08J. Tazler3.2561050J. Zuzanek1.331112113WSep 26 · 12:00J. Tazler1.801112113J. Zuzanek1.9151060LSep 26 · 11:30M. Sopko1.831210311113J. Tazler1.83101211772LSep 26 · 10:00J. Tazler1.80911111082M. Regner1.91118912113LSep 25 · 09:29J. Tazler2.6351171192M. Vondrak1.44119116113WSep 25 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2511911113M. Vondrak1.57911761
T. Franek10
WSep 27 · 02:30T. Franek1.801111113M. Skakal1.916450LSep 27 · 01:30J. Tazler1.801211113T. Franek1.9110730WSep 27 · 00:00T. Franek1.73711711113M. Klement2.0011511562WSep 26 · 23:00M. Regner2.50815981T. Franek1.50111311113WSep 26 · 21:00T. Franek1.911111143O. Svacha1.8089120LSep 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.5311114143T. Franek2.386511121LSep 26 · 19:30T. Franek2.6381280J. Jr1.441114113WSep 26 · 18:30O. Svacha1.83146117102T. Franek1.831211811123WSep 24 · 03:00T. Franek2.1011611113S. Kasnik1.67411811LSep 24 · 02:30T. Franek1.839119101R. Wagner1.8311911123
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