TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Klement vs Martin Skakal 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012911119511––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 78 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Martin Skakal at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 4–5 Martin Skakal Milan Klement has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Skakal beat Klement 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:55What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1633 vs Skakal 1696
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 60% vs Skakal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 50% vs Skakal 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement +1 · Skakal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 2.10 / Skakal 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skakal)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13204772
Klement2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 60 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Skakal1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKlement4wins
AwaySkakal5wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSkakal leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement57.1%4 of 7
AwaySkakaln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement7Skakal2n = 9Klement took 7 of 9
S2Klement3Skakal6n = 9Skakal took 6 of 9
S3Klement4Skakal5n = 9Skakal took 5 of 9
S4Klement2Skakal5n = 7Skakal took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKlementSkakalK − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.437.6+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 891 vs 87 / 16650.8%52.4%453 / 891 vs 87 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalKlement 2.10/Skakal 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 27 · 03:00M. Klement351091151M. Skakal4312119113
LSep 27 · 01:00M. Klement2610880M. Skakal341211113
LSep 23 · 02:30M. Klement38128991M. Skakal43101111113
WSep 18 · 01:00M. Klement49118127113M. Skakal46811101162
LSep 9 · 20:30M. Klement32115791M. Skakal4071111113
LAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement46111161082M. Skakal47581112113
WJul 19 · 01:30M. Klement45111112113M. Skakal33561481
WApr 11 · 09:30M. Klement4211911113M. Skakal36911971
WApr 11 · 08:30M. Klement331111113M. Skakal168440
M. Klement10
WSep 27 · 02:00M. Klement1.8311511113M. Regner1.83711881LSep 27 · 01:00M. Klement1.9110880M. Skakal1.801211113LSep 27 · 00:00T. Franek1.73711711113M. Klement2.0011511562WSep 26 · 22:30J. Tazler1.80115291M. Klement1.9151111113WSep 24 · 12:59V. Vejvoda2.00104111282M. Klement1.731211810113LSep 24 · 12:30M. Regner1.8311118113M. Klement1.83761171LSep 24 · 11:30M. Klement1.53681191J. Zuzanek2.3811115113WSep 24 · 10:30V. Vejvoda2.1046171182M. Klement1.671111157113WSep 23 · 03:00M. Klement1.85591111113M. Regner1.8511117862LSep 23 · 02:30M. Skakal1.91101111113M. Klement1.80128991
M. Skakal10
LSep 27 · 02:30T. Franek1.801111113M. Skakal1.916450WSep 27 · 01:00M. Klement1.9110880M. Skakal1.801211113LSep 26 · 23:30M. Skakal1.576101191J. Tazler2.2511126113WSep 26 · 22:00M. Skakal1.571511113M. Regner2.2513580WSep 23 · 03:30M. Sychra1.736111251M. Skakal2.00111310113WSep 23 · 02:30M. Skakal1.91101111113M. Klement1.80128991WSep 23 · 01:30M. Regner2.10115481M. Skakal1.6741111113LSep 23 · 00:00M. Skakal2.00911871M. Sychra1.7311311113WSep 22 · 23:00V. Vejvoda1.803770M. Skakal1.911111113LSep 22 · 21:30M. Sychra1.801211113M. Skakal1.9010870
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