TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dmytro Opanasiuk vs Ondrej Paril 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611711––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched: 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-10
Point 49 set 3, 7-10 · our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 68.3%
49 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 11–5 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5968.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 3.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Opanasiuk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1908 vs Paril 1856
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 60% vs Paril 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 30% vs Paril 60%
Paril
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk -1 · Paril -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Opanasiuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.40 / Paril 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Opanasiuk)-3.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13237781
Opanasiuk1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 98 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it69% 66 of 96
Paril2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 111 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk8wins
AwayParil2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%7 of 7
AwayParil66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk7Paril3n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S2Opanasiuk8Paril2n = 10Opanasiuk took 8 of 10
S3Opanasiuk5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S4Opanasiuk6Paril1n = 7Opanasiuk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpanasiukParilO − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.031.3+8.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukParilBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 311 vs 507 / 97453.7%52.1%167 / 311 vs 507 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.40/Paril 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk4111118113O. Paril31761171
WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk4471113133O. Paril3711411111
LAug 24 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk408116151O. Paril4511611173
WAug 23 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk331111113O. Paril196490
LAug 22 · 17:29D. Opanasiuk4381151182O. Paril42114115113
WAug 22 · 15:00D. Opanasiuk331111113O. Paril228950
WJun 13 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk3911116113O. Paril25341171
WJun 13 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk341111123O. Paril2046100
WMay 31 · 07:30D. Opanasiuk491110611113O. Paril3531211362
WMay 25 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk44111111113O. Paril37713891
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 30 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.65119117112T. Dousek2.10411611133WSep 30 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.4411611113T. Zika2.63611271LSep 30 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.6111561182T. Dousek2.20511118113WSep 30 · 18:00R. Revay1.731148101D. Opanasiuk2.0081111123WSep 27 · 17:00M. Huk2.385880D. Opanasiuk1.531111113LSep 27 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.401111113D. Opanasiuk2.754290LSep 27 · 15:00J. Cernik2.63111311113D. Opanasiuk1.4413119101LSep 27 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk1.4011661182M. Huk2.75811115113LSep 27 · 13:29J. Cernik2.5041111113D. Opanasiuk1.50117941LSep 27 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.3656130J. Cernik3.001111153
O. Paril10
LOct 2 · 13:29O. Paril1.831111971P. Wawrosz1.8381311113WOct 2 · 12:00O. Paril1.7311116113R. Polasek2.00831141LOct 2 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.911114113O. Paril1.8061250WOct 2 · 10:00O. Paril1.531111113M. Navedla2.386990WOct 1 · 13:30J. Szotkowski1.736670O. Paril2.001111113LOct 1 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.731111113O. Paril2.003760WOct 1 · 11:00T. Zika1.9113915992O. Paril1.8011111311113WOct 1 · 10:30O. Paril1.8012117113P. Wawrosz1.911091191WSep 29 · 16:58M. Biolek1.6711711111O. Paril2.1071113133LSep 29 · 16:30T. Zika1.8312115113O. Paril1.831091141
Upcoming Matches
D. Opanasiuk
O. Paril
Oct 4 · 15:00O. Paril1.80R. Revay1.91—Oct 4 · 16:30O. Paril2.10M. Biolek1.67—Oct 4 · 18:30O. Paril2.75D. Opanasiuk1.40—Oct 4 · 19:00O. Paril4.00R. Niezgoda1.22—Oct 4 · 20:00O. Paril2.10J. Dzida1.67—Oct 5 · 14:00O. Paril—J. Dzida——Oct 5 · 15:30O. Paril—T. Zika——Oct 5 · 16:00O. Paril2.10J. Szotkowski1.67—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.