TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Biolek vs Ondrej Paril 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11771111131113––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13
84 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 35–34 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 34 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Paril beat Biolek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.67 / Paril 2.10
Czech Liga Pro · #13218101
Biolek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 115 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it71% 85 of 119
Paril2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 114 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek6wins
AwayParil4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek75%6 of 8
AwayPariln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek8Paril2n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S2Biolek4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S3Biolek3Paril7n = 10Paril took 7 of 10
S4Biolek3Paril4n = 7Paril took 4 of 7
S5Biolek3Paril0n = 3Biolek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekParilB − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.037.5−0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekParilBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 452 vs 512 / 98555.3%52%250 / 452 vs 512 / 985Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.67/Paril 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 14:30M. Biolek401298111O. Paril45101111133
WSep 27 · 18:30M. Biolek4411148113O. Paril368121151
LSep 27 · 17:30M. Biolek24711241O. Paril4211911113
WSep 27 · 16:00M. Biolek48119512113O. Paril42611111042
LSep 25 · 17:30M. Biolek25112841O. Paril4071111113
WSep 25 · 16:00M. Biolek50119118113O. Paril4481171172
LSep 21 · 16:59M. Biolek2073100O. Paril341111123
WSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek351113113O. Paril2361160
WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek50119811113O. Paril4591111772
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek341211113O. Paril2410950
M. Biolek10
LSep 29 · 16:00R. Niezgoda1.801111113M. Biolek1.918590WSep 29 · 15:00T. Zika2.634840M. Biolek1.441111113LSep 29 · 14:30M. Biolek1.731298111O. Paril2.00101111133LSep 27 · 21:30J. Dzida1.731111610113M. Biolek2.0047111292LSep 27 · 20:30J. Dzida1.8011611153M. Biolek1.918114131WSep 27 · 19:30M. Biolek1.611111113T. Dousek2.205890WSep 27 · 18:30O. Paril2.108121151M. Biolek1.6711148113LSep 27 · 17:30M. Biolek1.73711241O. Paril2.0011911113WSep 27 · 16:00O. Paril2.00611111042M. Biolek1.73119512113LSep 27 · 15:00J. Pilch2.50661111113M. Biolek1.5011119892
O. Paril10
LSep 29 · 16:30T. Zika1.8312115113O. Paril1.831091141LSep 29 · 15:30O. Paril4.0091090R. Niezgoda1.221112113WSep 29 · 14:30M. Biolek1.731298111O. Paril2.00101111133LSep 27 · 21:00T. Dousek1.831111113O. Paril1.838770LSep 27 · 20:00T. Dousek1.839111110113O. Paril1.8311581252LSep 27 · 19:00J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109670LSep 27 · 18:30O. Paril2.108121151M. Biolek1.6711148113WSep 27 · 17:30M. Biolek1.73711241O. Paril2.0011911113LSep 27 · 16:00O. Paril2.00611111042M. Biolek1.73119512113WSep 27 · 15:30P. Wawrosz1.9161111642O. Paril1.80118611113
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