TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Biolek vs Ondrej Paril 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119211411––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 34–32 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 32 of their 66 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Biolek beat Paril 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Biolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-32 in 66
Biolek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1844 vs Paril 1936
Paril
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 60% vs Paril 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 50% vs Paril 70%
Paril
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +1 · Paril -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.73 / Paril 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Biolek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207494
Biolek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite52% won 112 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it90% 52 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it71% 82 of 115
Paril2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 114 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back25% 33 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek6wins
AwayParil4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek75%6 of 8
AwayPariln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek8Paril2n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S2Biolek3Paril7n = 10Paril took 7 of 10
S3Biolek4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S4Biolek3Paril4n = 7Paril took 4 of 7
S5Biolek3Paril0n = 3Biolek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekParilB − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.836.9−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekParilBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 444 vs 510 / 97755.6%52.2%247 / 444 vs 510 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.73/Paril 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 16:00M. Biolek48119512113O. Paril42611111042
LSep 25 · 17:30M. Biolek25112841O. Paril4071111113
WSep 25 · 16:00M. Biolek50119118113O. Paril4481171172
LSep 21 · 16:59M. Biolek2073100O. Paril341111123
WSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek351113113O. Paril2361160
WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek50119811113O. Paril4591111772
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek341211113O. Paril2410950
WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek4211128113O. Paril367101181
LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek331110661O. Paril4171211113
LSep 5 · 11:30M. Biolek315511101O. Paril4011116123
M. Biolek10
WSep 27 · 16:00O. Paril2.00611111042M. Biolek1.73119512113LSep 27 · 15:00J. Pilch2.50661111113M. Biolek1.5011119892WSep 27 · 14:30M. Biolek2.201111113P. Wawrosz1.617450LSep 25 · 17:30O. Paril1.9071111113M. Biolek1.80112841WSep 25 · 16:00M. Biolek1.73119118113O. Paril2.0081171172LSep 25 · 15:30M. Cabis2.381512113M. Biolek1.53131070WSep 25 · 14:00M. Biolek1.911111113J. Dzida1.805890WSep 24 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.608750M. Biolek2.201111113LSep 24 · 16:30M. Biolek1.4041511832T. Zika2.751113811113LSep 24 · 15:00M. Biolek2.00119931J. Szotkowski1.7341111113
O. Paril10
LSep 27 · 16:00O. Paril2.00611111042M. Biolek1.73119512113WSep 27 · 15:30P. Wawrosz1.9161111642O. Paril1.80118611113WSep 27 · 14:00O. Paril1.671111113J. Pilch2.102940WSep 25 · 17:30O. Paril1.9071111113M. Biolek1.80112841LSep 25 · 16:00M. Biolek1.73119118113O. Paril2.0081171172WSep 25 · 15:00J. Dzida1.731191171O. Paril2.0031113113WSep 25 · 14:30O. Paril2.101111113M. Cabis1.674770WSep 23 · 09:05R. Revay2.07111011592O. Paril1.67412311113WSep 23 · 08:30O. Paril1.711311117113T. Zika2.00117131192LSep 23 · 07:00O. Paril1.75115141182R. Polasek1.95611164113
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