TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Zajicek vs Dmytro Opanasiuk 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114112119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:25 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 48 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 63.3%
48 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 8–1 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Zajicek
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1961 vs Opanasiuk 1865
Zajicek
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 100% vs Opanasiuk 20%
Zajicek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 60% vs Opanasiuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek +5 · Opanasiuk -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.40 / Opanasiuk 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Zajicek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201236
Zajicek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite66% won 103 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it84% 83 of 99
Opanasiuk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 47 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZajicek8wins
AwayOpanasiuk1wins
2 of 9 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek87.5%7 of 8
AwayOpanasiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek8Opanasiuk1n = 9Zajicek took 8 of 9
S2Zajicek7Opanasiuk2n = 9Zajicek took 7 of 9
S3Zajicek6Opanasiuk3n = 9Zajicek took 6 of 9
S4Zajicek4Opanasiuk2n = 6Zajicek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricZajicekOpanasiukZ − OBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match40.231.7+8.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 624 vs 164 / 30552.6%53.8%328 / 624 vs 164 / 305Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekZajicek 1.40/Opanasiuk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 15:30J. Zajicek331111113D. Opanasiuk226880
WJul 21 · 19:30J. Zajicek331111113D. Opanasiuk176290
WJul 20 · 21:30J. Zajicek4011117113D. Opanasiuk29651171
LJul 20 · 20:30J. Zajicek5411121110102D. Opanasiuk569101312123
WJul 20 · 17:30J. Zajicek43311117113D. Opanasiuk4111771152
WJul 20 · 15:00J. Zajicek3913114113D. Opanasiuk331181131
WJul 4 · 02:30J. Zajicek331111113D. Opanasiuk228590
WJul 2 · 21:07J. Zajicek43111011113D. Opanasiuk30912541
WJul 2 · 20:00J. Zajicek4413911113D. Opanasiuk351111851
J. Zajicek10
WSep 27 · 15:30M. Huk3.256950J. Zajicek1.331111113WSep 27 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.401111119113J. Cernik2.7561341152WSep 24 · 21:28J. Zajicek1.361111113J. Vales3.003530WSep 24 · 20:00J. Medek1.674770J. Zajicek2.101111113WSep 24 · 19:00E. Mares1.805960J. Zajicek1.911111113LSep 24 · 18:30J. Zajicek1.3613381472J. Vales3.0011111112113WSep 21 · 16:58E. Mares2.001291291J. Zajicek1.73141110113LSep 21 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.801112961E. Mares1.9161411113LSep 21 · 15:30V. Koubek2.6371111113J. Zajicek1.44117551LSep 21 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.4079111192T. Postelt2.75111166113
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 27 · 15:00J. Cernik2.63111311113D. Opanasiuk1.4413119101LSep 27 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk1.4011661182M. Huk2.75811115113LSep 27 · 13:29J. Cernik2.5041111113D. Opanasiuk1.50117941LSep 27 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.3656130J. Cernik3.001111153WSep 27 · 11:30J. Kanera2.5031191162D. Opanasiuk1.50119119113WSep 27 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk1.365111011183M. Huk3.00119126162LSep 26 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk2.651161111L. Boruvka1.431311843WSep 26 · 12:00L. Boruvka1.57111110582D. Opanasiuk2.25651211113WSep 26 · 11:00M. Parzhizek1.8071111992D. Opanasiuk1.91116911113WSep 26 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.44101111113E. Mares2.63129771
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