TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Strnad 1961 vs Petr Serak 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Petr Serak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9
57 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 20–6 Petr Serak Petr Serak has won 6 of their 26 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Strnad beat Serak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serak form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.444 / Serak 2.625
Czech Liga Pro · #13237458
Strnad1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 21 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Serak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 5 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad9wins
AwaySerak1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad88.9%8 of 9
AwaySerakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad9Serak1n = 10Strnad took 9 of 10
S2Strnad8Serak2n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S3Strnad7Serak3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Strnad4Serak2n = 6Strnad took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSerakStrnad − SerakBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.329.1+10.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSerakBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 337 vs 65 / 17040.7%38.2%137 / 337 vs 65 / 170Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.44/Serak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 3 · 06:30J. Strnad45111112113P. Serak33871441
WAug 21 · 08:30J. Strnad331111113P. Serak114340
WAug 12 · 08:30J. Strnad43101111113P. Serak28124751
WAug 11 · 10:00J. Strnad47127116113P. Serak41101131162
WMay 21 · 08:00J. Strnad3611113113P. Serak35791181
WNov 30 · 17:30J. Strnad331111113P. Serak188550
LNov 29 · 17:30J. Strnad4813117892P. Serak501161111113
WSep 9 · 13:30J. Strnad4111811113P. Serak30911731
WSep 9 · 10:00J. Strnad331111113P. Serak204790
WSep 6 · 09:30J. Strnad341111123P. Serak2596100
J. Strnad10
LOct 3 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.101111133J. Strnad1.6767110WOct 3 · 07:00L. Madle1.36116291J. Strnad3.0041111113WOct 3 · 06:30J. Strnad1.44111112113P. Serak2.63871441LSep 28 · 09:00M. Marjan1.401612113J. Strnad2.75141060LSep 28 · 08:30L. Madle1.571111113J. Strnad2.256470LSep 28 · 07:30J. Strnad4.00114651J. Martinek1.2271111113LSep 28 · 06:30M. Marjan1.531111113J. Strnad2.387850LSep 24 · 08:59J. Strnad2.50119881J. Pantak1.5081111113WSep 24 · 08:30L. Madle1.4415780J. Strnad2.631711113LSep 24 · 07:30J. Strnad3.7507110T. Kucera1.251111133
P. Serak10
LOct 3 · 08:30L. Madle1.331361112113P. Serak3.25151171052LOct 3 · 07:30P. Serak2.757950A. Tkachenko1.401111113LOct 3 · 06:30J. Strnad1.44111112113P. Serak2.63871441LSep 9 · 13:30P. Serak1.4611760C. Havrda2.371311113WSep 9 · 12:30P. Serak1.5711114153J. Stary2.258511131WSep 9 · 11:00P. Serak3.0021111113P. Petr1.36114991WSep 9 · 10:00C. Havrda2.2511811632P. Serak1.57811311113WAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172LAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972
Upcoming Matches
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