TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
David Brichacek vs Jachym Juppa 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012112118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched: 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 5-3
Point 63 set 4, 5-3 · our read held David Brichacek at 75.3%
63 points drawn · the score is 11 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H David Brichacek 15–4 Jachym Juppa Jachym Juppa has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2775.3%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
clears by 0.3pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-4 in 19
Brichacek
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brichacek 1738 vs Juppa 1577
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brichacek 80% vs Juppa 40%
Brichacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brichacek 80% vs Juppa 50%
Brichacek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brichacek -1 · Juppa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Brichacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 1.333 / Juppa 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Brichacek)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13234599
Brichacek1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 103 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 75 of 96
Juppa3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 77 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back32% 24 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrichacek7wins
AwayJuppa3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBrichacek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek85.7%6 of 7
AwayJuppa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek7Juppa3n = 10Brichacek took 7 of 10
S2Brichacek6Juppa4n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S3Brichacek6Juppa4n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S4Brichacek2Juppa3n = 5Juppa took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrichacekJuppaB − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.630.3+6.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 351 vs 440 / 83655%52.6%193 / 351 vs 440 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekBrichacek 1.33/Juppa 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 2 · 17:45D. Brichacek331111113J. Juppa153390
WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek331111113J. Juppa125250
LAug 23 · 14:00D. Brichacek351181061J. Juppa4281112113
WAug 12 · 19:45D. Brichacek331111113J. Juppa198560
LAug 2 · 13:45D. Brichacek3611311111J. Juppa4213115133
WAug 1 · 10:00D. Brichacek3911116113J. Juppa34871181
WJul 7 · 08:33D. Brichacek4211911113J. Juppa33511891
LJul 7 · 05:30D. Brichacek30101190J. Juppa361213113
WJun 21 · 06:15D. Brichacek48611119113J. Juppa4011651172
D. Brichacek10
LOct 3 · 15:15L. Kolman2.001111113D. Brichacek1.737790LOct 3 · 13:45D. Brichacek1.50121181192P. Orlowski2.50149118113WOct 2 · 20:43M. Hajek3.006760D. Brichacek1.361111113WOct 2 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.4011811113M. Hajek2.75411471WOct 2 · 18:15L. Kolman1.834101161D. Brichacek1.8311129113WOct 2 · 17:45J. Juppa2.753390D. Brichacek1.401111113WSep 29 · 20:43M. Hajek2.505570D. Brichacek1.501111113WSep 29 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.671111113M. Hajek2.108210WSep 29 · 18:15M. Vana1.6710101141D. Brichacek2.1012123113LSep 29 · 17:45D. Marasek1.501111113D. Brichacek2.504690
J. Juppa10
LOct 3 · 15:45P. Orlowski1.6711111053J. Juppa2.10341211LOct 3 · 13:15L. Kolman1.831111109113J. Juppa1.8387121142LOct 2 · 19:15L. Kolman1.80911119113J. Juppa1.9111451182WOct 2 · 18:45J. Juppa3.501381211113M. Hajek1.28111114992LOct 2 · 17:45J. Juppa2.753390D. Brichacek1.401111113WSep 29 · 20:58J. Juppa1.5781111113T. Bertho2.25112771LSep 29 · 20:00T. Bertho2.38111011113J. Juppa1.53512771WSep 29 · 19:00S. Kalensky2.381175101J. Juppa1.5381111123WSep 29 · 17:30J. Gruber1.50681191J. Juppa2.5011116113WSep 28 · 12:28J. Juppa1.83411119123T. Hybl1.83116611102
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