TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jachym Juppa vs Tadeas Bertho 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811112117117––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7
68 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 18–11 Tadeas Bertho Tadeas Bertho has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bertho beat Juppa 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.57 / Bertho 2.25
Setka Cup · #13219144
Juppa1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 69 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it67% 56 of 84
Bertho2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 63 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa5wins
AwayBertho5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa80%4 of 5
AwayBertho80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S2Juppa7Bertho3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S3Juppa6Bertho4n = 10Juppa took 6 of 10
S4Juppa3Bertho5n = 8Bertho took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaBerthoJ − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.538.1−1.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 843 vs 373 / 69652.7%53.6%444 / 843 vs 373 / 696Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.57/Bertho 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 20:00J. Juppa31512771T. Bertho43111011113
LSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa35611991T. Bertho4211911113
WSep 18 · 16:00J. Juppa4181111113T. Bertho32115881
WSep 16 · 16:43J. Juppa4311514133T. Bertho4171112111
LSep 16 · 13:15J. Juppa27114661T. Bertho4071111113
WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa331111113T. Bertho257990
WJul 13 · 11:00J. Juppa4211811123T. Bertho379117101
WJun 6 · 19:30J. Juppa371114123T. Bertho30812100
LMar 7 · 17:00J. Juppa36911971T. Bertho3911611113
LFeb 26 · 15:15J. Juppa4061211652T. Bertho521110911113
J. Juppa10
LSep 29 · 20:00T. Bertho2.38111011113J. Juppa1.53512771WSep 29 · 19:00S. Kalensky2.381175101J. Juppa1.5381111123WSep 29 · 17:30J. Gruber1.50681191J. Juppa2.5011116113WSep 28 · 12:28J. Juppa1.83411119123T. Hybl1.83116611102LSep 28 · 12:00M. Hajek1.3311911113J. Juppa3.25911681LSep 28 · 11:00L. Provaznik1.4011119113J. Juppa2.75981151WSep 28 · 09:30T. Hybl1.57641191J. Juppa2.2511118113WSep 25 · 20:13J. Juppa1.671111113L. Krasl2.109780WSep 25 · 19:15L. Krasl2.10471191J. Juppa1.6711116113LSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa1.50611991T. Bertho2.5011911113
T. Bertho10
WSep 29 · 20:00T. Bertho2.38111011113J. Juppa1.53512771WSep 29 · 18:30J. Gruber1.537840T. Bertho2.381111113WSep 29 · 18:00S. Kalensky2.10711111492T. Bertho1.67119916113WSep 28 · 20:43F. Kubos1.57116111172T. Bertho2.25411134113LSep 28 · 19:45T. Bertho2.107890F. Kubos1.671111113LSep 28 · 18:15J. Snr2.501311612113T. Bertho1.50158111092WSep 28 · 17:45S. Kalensky2.1013118101T. Bertho1.67111311123LSep 26 · 12:41T. Bertho1.909670T. Hanke1.80111193LSep 26 · 12:00L. Stoces1.5711812113T. Bertho2.256111071WSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa1.50611991T. Bertho2.5011911113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.