TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Gazhula vs Volodymyr Kuzmych 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111210711119116
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:48 and never touched: 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Volodymyr Kuzmych below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 70.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 3–0 Volodymyr Kuzmych Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:4870.9%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
short by 4.1pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Gazhula
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Gazhula
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1503 vs Kuzmych 1502
Gazhula
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 40% vs Kuzmych 80%
Kuzmych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 30% vs Kuzmych 70%
Kuzmych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula -3 · Kuzmych +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Gazhula) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.333 / Kuzmych 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Gazhula)-4.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234400
Gazhula1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Kuzmych3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 16 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back42% 8 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGazhula3wins
AwayKuzmych0wins
Gazhula leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula2Kuzmych1n = 3Gazhula took 2 of 3
S2Gazhula3Kuzmych0n = 3Gazhula took 3 of 3
S3Gazhula3Kuzmych0n = 3Gazhula took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGazhulaKuzmychG − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.728.0+8.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaKuzmychBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 453 vs 40 / 8647.9%46.5%217 / 453 vs 40 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.33/Kuzmych 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 25 · 06:55O. Gazhula331111113V. Kuzmych259880
WJul 24 · 13:55O. Gazhula331111113V. Kuzmych203980
WDec 24 · 16:55O. Gazhula4491212113V. Kuzmych3911101081
O. Gazhula10
LOct 3 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.676116101M. Slozka2.1011611123LOct 3 · 14:55O. Gazhula2.10141191392D. Palii1.671291115113LOct 3 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.5361161152A. Kotiash2.38118114113WOct 3 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.5311911113I. Fashchevskyi2.38811791WOct 3 · 01:22A. Kotiash1.8521151182O. Gazhula1.85118119113WOct 2 · 23:45O. Sydorchuk2.251191051O. Gazhula1.5771112113LOct 2 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.57111178122A. Kotiash2.25831111143LOct 2 · 21:45V. Korobko2.001111133O. Gazhula1.7399110LOct 2 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.83961341D. Palii1.83111111113LSep 27 · 10:25O. Sydorchuk2.631111113O. Gazhula1.448780
V. Kuzmych10
WOct 3 · 16:55V. Kuzmych2.3891111113D. Palii1.53113491WOct 3 · 15:55V. Kuzmych2.2511116113I. Fashchevskyi1.57791181WOct 3 · 14:25V. Kuzmych2.2051211113M. Slozka1.611110371WOct 3 · 12:25V. Kuzmych1.831112123A. Kotiash1.83810100LSep 12 · 10:55V. Kuzmych2.209511111T. Gil1.6111119133WSep 12 · 08:55D. Palii1.67111110882V. Kuzmych2.10371211113WSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862LSep 12 · 06:55S. Prus1.8311115113V. Kuzmych1.83781131LSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113WSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112
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