TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Sydorchuk vs Oleksii Gazhula 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1179111012511––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:36 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Oleksii Gazhula below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 60.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 2–5 Oleksii Gazhula Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:3660.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gazhula
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Gazhula
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1440 vs Gazhula 1505
Gazhula
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Gazhula 0%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 30% vs Gazhula 50%
Gazhula
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -2 · Gazhula -5
Gazhula
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Gazhula) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gazhula form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.25 / Gazhula 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Gazhula)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13228980
Sydorchuk2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 37 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Gazhula1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it75% 41 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwayGazhula5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderGazhula leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayGazhula100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk3Gazhula4n = 7Gazhula took 4 of 7
S2Sydorchuk4Gazhula3n = 7Sydorchuk took 4 of 7
S3Sydorchuk3Gazhula4n = 7Gazhula took 4 of 7
S4Sydorchuk1Gazhula2n = 3Gazhula took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSydorchukGazhulaS − GBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.436.1−2.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukGazhulaBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 319 vs 215 / 45052%47.8%166 / 319 vs 215 / 450Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaSydorchuk 2.25/Gazhula 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 27 · 10:25O. Sydorchuk331111113O. Gazhula238780
LJun 13 · 02:15O. Sydorchuk4111911642O. Gazhula39611011113
WJun 7 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk341111123O. Gazhula2385100
LJun 6 · 02:15O. Sydorchuk4471161282O. Gazhula511181110113
LMay 29 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk206770O. Gazhula331111113
LMay 24 · 07:25O. Sydorchuk27812251O. Gazhula43111011113
LMay 23 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk351114100O. Gazhula411316123
O. Sydorchuk10
WOct 3 · 00:45O. Sydorchuk2.25101411113V. Korobko1.571212671LOct 2 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.50111267122D. Palii1.507101111143LOct 2 · 21:15O. Sydorchuk1.8013141513152A. Kotiash1.9111121715173WSep 27 · 10:25O. Sydorchuk2.631111113O. Gazhula1.448780LSep 27 · 08:55O. Sydorchuk2.201071471S. Prus1.61121112113LSep 27 · 07:25O. Sydorchuk2.00861141D. Palii1.7311114113WSep 27 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk1.571111113I. Kvak2.259990LSep 27 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk2.6375110M. Slozka1.441111133LSep 20 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk2.508840M. Slozka1.501111113LSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880
O. Gazhula10
LOct 2 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.57111178122A. Kotiash2.25831111143LOct 2 · 21:45V. Korobko2.001111133O. Gazhula1.7399110LOct 2 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.83961341D. Palii1.83111111113LSep 27 · 10:25O. Sydorchuk2.631111113O. Gazhula1.448780LSep 27 · 09:25O. Gazhula1.611111871D. Palii2.2081311113WSep 27 · 08:25O. Gazhula1.67111148113M. Slozka2.1086111182WSep 27 · 06:55O. Gazhula1.3011911113S. Prus3.40611991WSep 27 · 04:55O. Gazhula1.361111113I. Kvak3.008980WSep 26 · 16:25S. Prus2.509610O. Gazhula1.501111113WSep 26 · 15:55O. Gazhula1.571111102I. Fashchevskyi2.2567111
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