TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Gazhula vs Dmytro Palii 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181113811711––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 57.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 3–1 Dmytro Palii Dmytro Palii has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gazhula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Gazhula
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1594 vs Palii 1568
Gazhula
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 100% vs Palii 80%
Gazhula
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 80% vs Palii 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula +5 · Palii +1
Gazhula
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gazhula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.61 / Palii 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Gazhula)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13203829
Gazhula1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it76% 40 of 53
Palii2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 23 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGazhula3wins
AwayPalii1wins
Gazhula leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula2Palii2n = 4split evenly
S2Gazhula3Palii1n = 4Gazhula took 3 of 4
S3Gazhula3Palii1n = 4Gazhula took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricGazhulaPaliiG − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match33.025.0+8.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 445 vs 121 / 20848.3%58.2%215 / 445 vs 121 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.61/Palii 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 26 · 13:25O. Gazhula2561090D. Palii341112113
WSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula331111113D. Palii225890
WJun 18 · 10:25O. Gazhula331111113D. Palii166820
WJun 17 · 18:55O. Gazhula4151114113D. Palii281111241
O. Gazhula10
LSep 27 · 10:25O. Sydorchuk2.631111113O. Gazhula1.448780WSep 27 · 08:25O. Gazhula1.67111148113M. Slozka2.1086111182WSep 27 · 06:55O. Gazhula1.3011911113S. Prus3.40611991WSep 27 · 04:55O. Gazhula1.361111113I. Kvak3.008980WSep 26 · 16:25S. Prus2.509610O. Gazhula1.501111113WSep 26 · 15:55O. Gazhula1.571111102I. Fashchevskyi2.2567111WSep 26 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.531111123I. Kvak2.3839100LSep 26 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.3361090D. Palii3.251112113WSep 26 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.80711112M. Slozka1.9111891LSep 26 · 02:45O. Gazhula1.67118671M. Slozka2.1021111113
D. Palii10
WSep 27 · 07:25O. Sydorchuk2.00861141D. Palii1.7311114113LSep 27 · 06:25D. Palii2.008350M. Slozka1.731111113WSep 27 · 05:25S. Prus2.63981271D. Palii1.44111110113WSep 26 · 18:25D. Palii2.0051111993I. Fashchevskyi1.7311681182WSep 26 · 15:25S. Prus2.501041121D. Palii1.5012113113WSep 26 · 14:25D. Palii2.2011111182M. Slozka1.61713781WSep 26 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.3361090D. Palii3.251112113WSep 26 · 12:25D. Palii1.671111113I. Kvak2.105630LSep 26 · 03:15D. Palii2.0011311862I. Fashchevskyi1.73711611113WSep 26 · 01:15V. Korobko2.0055100D. Palii1.731111123
Upcoming Matches
O. Gazhula
Nothing scheduled
D. Palii
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