TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Sydorchuk vs Volodymyr Korobko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121412116117––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:36 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Korobko to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 83 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Volodymyr Korobko at 61.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 0–1 Volodymyr Korobko Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:3661.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Korobko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1430 vs Korobko 1520
Korobko
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Korobko 100%
Korobko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Korobko 70%
Korobko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -3 · Korobko +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Korobko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.25 / Korobko 1.571
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Korobko)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229475
Sydorchuk2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 37 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Korobko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 35 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSydorchuk0wins
AwayKorobko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKorobko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSydorchukKorobkoS − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.053.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 320 vs 210 / 46851.9%44.9%166 / 320 vs 210 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KorobkoSydorchuk 2.25/Korobko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Korobko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk45711412112V. Korobko531181110133
O. Sydorchuk10
LOct 2 · 23:45O. Sydorchuk2.251191051O. Gazhula1.5771112113LOct 2 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.50111267122D. Palii1.507101111143LOct 2 · 21:15O. Sydorchuk1.8013141513152A. Kotiash1.9111121715173WSep 27 · 10:25O. Sydorchuk2.631111113O. Gazhula1.448780LSep 27 · 08:55O. Sydorchuk2.201071471S. Prus1.61121112113LSep 27 · 07:25O. Sydorchuk2.00861141D. Palii1.7311114113WSep 27 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk1.571111113I. Kvak2.259990LSep 27 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk2.6375110M. Slozka1.441111133LSep 20 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk2.508840M. Slozka1.501111113LSep 20 · 08:55S. Prus1.731111113O. Sydorchuk2.002880
V. Korobko10
WOct 2 · 23:15V. Korobko2.751111113D. Palii1.407770WOct 2 · 21:45V. Korobko2.001111133O. Gazhula1.7399110WOct 2 · 20:15V. Korobko1.671110911113A. Kotiash2.1031211692WSep 29 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.535970V. Korobko2.381111113WSep 29 · 01:00V. Korobko3.001011118113M. Potapov1.3612981182WSep 29 · 00:00V. Korobko2.201212811113I. Pytsko1.61141011782LSep 28 · 22:30V. Korobko1.6111111110102I. Fashchevskyi2.20931312123LSep 28 · 20:30V. Korobko3.50113571D. Maltsev1.2871111113WSep 26 · 02:15S. Prus1.912970V. Korobko1.801111113LSep 26 · 01:15V. Korobko2.0055100D. Palii1.731111123
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