Karol Kufel vs Adam Linek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 3Finished

Karol Kufel

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 11

Form at publish

10–0Last 10Won last 11

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

115118911511511

Adam Linek

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:03 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Karol Kufel to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

Sent to Pro: Karol Kufel @ 1.73 · Lost

How it is goingKarol Kufel above · Adam Linek below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 5-11

Point 87 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Karol Kufel at 56.5%

87 points played in total.

The pickConfirm

Sealed 04:03

56.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 1.4pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Kufel

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kufel 1555 vs Linek 1404

Kufel

Wrong

both rated, 151 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kufel 100% vs Linek 20%

Kufel

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kufel 100% vs Linek 20%

Kufel

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kufel +11 · Linek -3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Kufel) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Linek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKufel 1.727 / Linek 2.00

Signal prob.57% / 44%

Edge (Kufel)-1.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13232533

Kufel1.73

100%won 10 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 11

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite82% won 18 of 22

Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12

Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13

Linek2.00

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 131 of 330

Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 184

Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKufelLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 47 vs 758 / 162966%46.5%31 / 47 vs 758 / 1629Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kufel

Kufel 1.73/Linek 2.00

Miss

What we said

56.5%

Kufel · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Karol Kufel @ 1.73 · Lost

What happened

2–3

Linek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

K. Kufel10