TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Konrad Staszczyk vs Adam Linek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161141012114––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched: 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Adam Linek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 68.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 2–3 Adam Linek Konrad Staszczyk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:0068.7%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 2.7pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1678 vs Linek 1452
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 100% vs Linek 0%
Staszczyk
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 100% vs Linek 10%
Staszczyk
Correct
90pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +10 · Linek -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.40 / Linek 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Staszczyk)-2.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222952
Staszczyk1.40
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 200 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it91% 85 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it84% 143 of 170
Linek2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 133 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStaszczyk2wins
AwayLinek3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderLinek leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczyk50%2 of 4
AwayLinekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk4Linek1n = 5Staszczyk took 4 of 5
S2Staszczyk2Linek3n = 5Linek took 3 of 5
S3Staszczyk3Linek2n = 5Staszczyk took 3 of 5
S4Staszczyk1Linek3n = 4Linek took 3 of 4
S5Staszczyk1Linek2n = 3Linek took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricStaszczykLinekS − LBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match42.842.4+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 415 vs 756 / 161858.1%46.7%241 / 415 vs 756 / 1618Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.40/Linek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 14 · 23:20K. Staszczyk50118119112A. Linek49711711133
LSep 14 · 16:55K. Staszczyk4311691162A. Linek45711115113
WJun 28 · 17:20K. Staszczyk331111113A. Linek248970
WMay 21 · 18:10K. Staszczyk49141176113A. Linek47128111152
LMay 17 · 16:25K. Staszczyk398511151A. Linek4711118173
K. Staszczyk10
WOct 1 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.281111113A. Mugowski3.504470WOct 1 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.369111211113P. Blocho3.0011314652WSep 30 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.637230K. Staszczyk1.441111113WSep 30 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5011611113K. Rudomina2.50611581WSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113WSep 30 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.8011811113J. Zochniak1.91811761WSep 30 · 18:30K. Staszczyk1.7371311123P. Blocho2.0011115101WSep 30 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.44141111113B. Sulkowski2.63166641WSep 30 · 16:05D. Solilo2.5051111282K. Staszczyk1.50119911113WSep 30 · 15:25K. Staszczyk1.4411101113113K. Rudomina2.6391231542
A. Linek10
LOct 1 · 15:25A. Linek2.381091181D. Solilo1.5312118113LSep 29 · 19:40A. Linek1.80515761J. Krawczyk1.91111311113LSep 29 · 18:30A. Linek3.756430J. Mitas1.251111113LSep 29 · 17:20A. Linek2.387480J. Nadolny1.531111113LSep 29 · 16:05L. Pietraszko1.57712114123A. Linek2.251110511102LSep 29 · 15:25A. Linek1.83116741P. Blocho1.8391111113WSep 28 · 00:35A. Linek1.421114113D. Kotwica2.6081260LSep 27 · 23:45K. Rudomina1.7511911113A. Linek1.90611871LSep 27 · 22:35A. Linek1.917111171S. Brud1.8011139113LSep 27 · 21:55J. Glanowski2.4512811113A. Linek1.471011891
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk
Oct 1 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.33J. Glanowski3.25—Oct 1 · 18:50K. Staszczyk1.57D. Kosmal2.25—Oct 1 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.50D. Solilo2.50—Oct 1 · 21:00K. Staszczyk1.40J. Glanowski2.75—Oct 1 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.40A. Linek2.75—Oct 1 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.40B. Sulkowski2.75—Oct 1 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.50D. Solilo2.50—Oct 2 · 17:20K. Staszczyk—D. Kosmal——
A. Linek
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