TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Linek vs Dominik Solilo 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012911118811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:20 and never touched: 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Linek above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 5-6
Point 11 set 1, 5-6 · our read held Dominik Solilo at 64.0%
11 points drawn · the score is 69 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Adam Linek 5–7 Dominik Solilo Adam Linek has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2064.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 1.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Solilo
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1452 vs Solilo 1588
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 0% vs Solilo 40%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 20% vs Solilo 50%
Solilo
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek -5 · Solilo +1
Linek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Solilo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 2.375 / Solilo 1.533
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Solilo)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13221381
Linek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 29)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 133 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84
Solilo1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 166 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it91% 84 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it79% 122 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLinek4wins
AwaySolilo6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSolilo leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinek40%2 of 5
AwaySolilo60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S2Linek3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S3Linek7Solilo3n = 10Linek took 7 of 10
S4Linek4Solilo5n = 9Solilo took 5 of 9
S5Linek2Solilo4n = 6Solilo took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLinekSoliloL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.743.2−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime760 / 1625 vs 280 / 57046.8%49.1%760 / 1625 vs 280 / 570Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloLinek 2.38/Solilo 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 22:55A. Linek4211911113D. Solilo33611881
WSep 14 · 22:35A. Linek52961511113D. Solilo50111113692
LSep 11 · 03:00A. Linek34119861D. Solilo4291111113
LSep 10 · 11:25A. Linek481014113102D. Solilo521212511123
LAug 25 · 03:25A. Linek3911571152D. Solilo49811118113
LAug 15 · 04:00A. Linek4351111972D. Solilo46114911113
WAug 14 · 05:15A. Linek3811511113D. Solilo32711951
WAug 6 · 06:00A. Linek43311117113D. Solilo4611781192
LJul 30 · 05:15A. Linek43133111062D. Solilo491111412113
LJul 18 · 09:00A. Linek259790D. Solilo331111113
A. Linek10
LOct 1 · 16:05K. Staszczyk1.40111110113A. Linek2.75641241LSep 29 · 19:40A. Linek1.80515761J. Krawczyk1.91111311113LSep 29 · 18:30A. Linek3.756430J. Mitas1.251111113LSep 29 · 17:20A. Linek2.387480J. Nadolny1.531111113LSep 29 · 16:05L. Pietraszko1.57712114123A. Linek2.251110511102LSep 29 · 15:25A. Linek1.83116741P. Blocho1.8391111113WSep 28 · 00:35A. Linek1.421114113D. Kotwica2.6081260LSep 27 · 23:45K. Rudomina1.7511911113A. Linek1.90611871LSep 27 · 22:35A. Linek1.917111171S. Brud1.8011139113LSep 27 · 21:55J. Glanowski2.4512811113A. Linek1.471011891
D. Solilo10
WOct 1 · 00:10D. Solilo1.5713511113B. Sulkowski2.251111771LSep 30 · 23:20D. Solilo1.737101191K. Rudomina2.0011129113LSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113LSep 30 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53911721P. Blocho2.3811811113WSep 30 · 20:30D. Solilo1.73711113113K. Rudomina2.0011981192WSep 30 · 18:50D. Solilo1.611111113J. Zochniak2.206990WSep 30 · 17:40D. Solilo1.5771111153P. Blocho2.251192131LSep 30 · 16:05D. Solilo2.5051111282K. Staszczyk1.50119911113WSep 30 · 15:00D. Solilo1.73911117113B. Sulkowski2.0011871182LSep 29 · 13:55A. Sobel1.80101111113D. Solilo1.91125141
Upcoming Matches
A. Linek
D. Solilo
Oct 1 · 16:55D. Solilo1.73J. Glanowski2.00—Oct 1 · 18:05D. Solilo2.10D. Kosmal1.67—Oct 1 · 19:15D. Solilo1.50A. Mugowski2.50—Oct 1 · 20:30D. Solilo2.50K. Staszczyk1.50—Oct 1 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53A. Linek2.38—Oct 1 · 21:50D. Solilo1.50B. Sulkowski2.50—Oct 1 · 23:20D. Solilo2.50K. Staszczyk1.50—Oct 2 · 00:10D. Solilo1.80J. Glanowski1.91—
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