TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Konrad Staszczyk vs Przemyslaw Blocho 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111131214116115
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:24 and never touched: 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Przemyslaw Blocho below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 93 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 71.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 2–1 Przemyslaw Blocho Przemyslaw Blocho has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Staszczyk beat Blocho 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:2471.6%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 1.8pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1673 vs Blocho 1506
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 100% vs Blocho 60%
Staszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 80% vs Blocho 50%
Staszczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +8 · Blocho +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blocho form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.363 / Blocho 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Staszczyk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13217361
Staszczyk1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 191 of 295
Up 2–0, closes it91% 84 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it84% 137 of 164
Blocho3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 55 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStaszczyk2wins
AwayBlocho1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk1Blocho2n = 3Blocho took 2 of 3
S2Staszczyk2Blocho1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S3Staszczyk2Blocho1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S4Staszczyk2Blocho1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaszczykBlochoS − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.342.0+3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykBlochoBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 414 vs 580 / 105858%54.8%240 / 414 vs 580 / 1058Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.36/Blocho 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 1 · 00:35K. Staszczyk549111211113P. Blocho3911314652
WSep 30 · 18:30K. Staszczyk4371311123P. Blocho3711115101
LSep 18 · 22:05K. Staszczyk39117111002P. Blocho50811812113
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 30 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.637230K. Staszczyk1.441111113WSep 30 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5011611113K. Rudomina2.50611581WSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113WSep 30 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.8011811113J. Zochniak1.91811761WSep 30 · 18:30K. Staszczyk1.7371311123P. Blocho2.0011115101WSep 30 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.44141111113B. Sulkowski2.63166641WSep 30 · 16:05D. Solilo2.5051111282K. Staszczyk1.50119911113WSep 30 · 15:25K. Staszczyk1.4411101113113K. Rudomina2.6391231542LSep 29 · 14:15A. Spychala1.67111011113K. Staszczyk2.10812231LSep 29 · 13:25K. Kolodziej1.271111113K. Staszczyk3.504960
P. Blocho10
WSep 30 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.207780P. Blocho1.611111113WSep 30 · 22:10K. Rudomina1.83911171P. Blocho1.8311911113WSep 30 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53911721P. Blocho2.3811811113LSep 30 · 20:05P. Blocho1.6781111572B. Sulkowski2.10112911113LSep 30 · 18:30K. Staszczyk1.7371311123P. Blocho2.0011115101LSep 30 · 17:40D. Solilo1.5771111153P. Blocho2.251192131WSep 30 · 16:55P. Blocho1.83115117113K. Rudomina1.8321131192LSep 30 · 15:45P. Blocho1.6711812862J. Zochniak2.108111011113LSep 30 · 00:10P. Blocho2.6310750J. Nadolny1.441211113WSep 29 · 23:20P. Blocho2.2571111113L. Pietraszko1.57118661
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk
Oct 1 · 15:00K. Staszczyk—A. Mugowski——Oct 1 · 16:05K. Staszczyk—A. Linek——Oct 1 · 17:40K. Staszczyk—J. Glanowski——Oct 1 · 18:50K. Staszczyk—D. Kosmal——Oct 1 · 20:30K. Staszczyk—D. Solilo——Oct 1 · 21:00K. Staszczyk—J. Glanowski——Oct 1 · 22:10K. Staszczyk—A. Linek——Oct 1 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—B. Sulkowski——Oct 1 · 23:20K. Staszczyk—D. Solilo——
P. Blocho
Nothing scheduled
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