TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Przemyslaw Blocho vs Bartosz Sulkowski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811112119511711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePrzemyslaw Blocho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPrzemyslaw Blocho above · Bartosz Sulkowski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Przemyslaw Blocho at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Przemyslaw Blocho 6–7 Bartosz Sulkowski Przemyslaw Blocho has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5254.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Blocho
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blocho 1478 vs Sulkowski 1534
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blocho 20% vs Sulkowski 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blocho 40% vs Sulkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blocho -2 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Blocho) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blocho form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlocho 1.666 / Sulkowski 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Blocho)-6.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13217367
Blocho1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 136 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 103 of 129
Sulkowski2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 159 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back18% 50 of 279
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlocho4wins
AwaySulkowski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlocho60%3 of 5
AwaySulkowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blocho5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Blocho5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Blocho4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Blocho3Sulkowski4n = 7Sulkowski took 4 of 7
S5Blocho1Sulkowski2n = 3Sulkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlochoSulkowskiB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.838.5−2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlochoSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime577 / 1053 vs 596 / 132954.8%44.9%577 / 1053 vs 596 / 1329Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BlochoBlocho 1.67/Sulkowski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Blocho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 10:10P. Blocho218760B. Sulkowski331111113
LSep 20 · 23:45P. Blocho4111481172B. Sulkowski46911114113
WSep 20 · 16:30P. Blocho4771513123B. Sulkowski45111311101
LSep 19 · 15:00P. Blocho42111110642B. Sulkowski48771211113
WSep 19 · 01:10P. Blocho48118117113B. Sulkowski4371181162
WSep 10 · 09:50P. Blocho4111136113B. Sulkowski367111171
LSep 10 · 03:20P. Blocho33671191B. Sulkowski4111118113
WSep 9 · 06:25P. Blocho331111113B. Sulkowski216870
LApr 14 · 15:00P. Blocho36911971B. Sulkowski3911611113
LFeb 4 · 02:00P. Blocho162680B. Sulkowski331111113
P. Blocho10
WSep 30 · 22:10K. Rudomina1.83911171P. Blocho1.8311911113WSep 30 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53911721P. Blocho2.3811811113LSep 30 · 18:30K. Staszczyk1.7371311123P. Blocho2.0011115101LSep 30 · 17:40D. Solilo1.5771111153P. Blocho2.251192131WSep 30 · 16:55P. Blocho1.83115117113K. Rudomina1.8321131192LSep 30 · 15:45P. Blocho1.6711812862J. Zochniak2.108111011113LSep 30 · 00:10P. Blocho2.6310750J. Nadolny1.441211113WSep 29 · 23:20P. Blocho2.2571111113L. Pietraszko1.57118661WSep 29 · 21:50P. Blocho1.73101111113K. Rudomina2.00126941LSep 29 · 21:25P. Blocho4.33911451J. Mitas1.2011911113
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 30 · 21:00B. Sulkowski1.916590K. Rudomina1.801111113WSep 30 · 19:15K. Rudomina2.008121361B. Sulkowski1.73111411113LSep 30 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.44141111113B. Sulkowski2.63166641LSep 30 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.1011119113B. Sulkowski1.67451131LSep 30 · 15:00D. Solilo1.73911117113B. Sulkowski2.0011871182WSep 25 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.5011514113T. Filbrandt1.507111281WSep 25 · 19:40B. Sulkowski1.611112123R. Malinowski2.20810100LSep 25 · 18:30B. Sulkowski2.505101141K. Staszczyk1.5011124113LSep 25 · 17:20K. Rudomina1.83711117113B. Sulkowski1.8311881162WSep 25 · 16:30B. Sulkowski1.7391111113A. Mugowski2.00114761
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