TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Przemyslaw Blocho vs Jacek Mitas 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119411511––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:24 and never touched: 81.1% is still 81.1%
Graded at full timeJacek Mitas to win
81.1%
81.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPrzemyslaw Blocho above · Jacek Mitas below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Jacek Mitas at 81.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Przemyslaw Blocho 0–3 Jacek Mitas Przemyslaw Blocho has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Mitas beat Blocho 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:24What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Mitas
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Mitas
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blocho 1478 vs Mitas 1713
Mitas
Correct
both rated, 235 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blocho 60% vs Mitas 100%
Mitas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blocho 60% vs Mitas 80%
Mitas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blocho -1 · Mitas +5
Mitas
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% · Strong (leans Mitas) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitas form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlocho 4.33 / Mitas 1.20
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Mitas)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13215752
Blocho4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Mitas1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 70 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 53 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBlocho0wins
AwayMitas3wins
Mitas leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlochon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMitas100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blocho0Mitas3n = 3Mitas took 3 of 3
S2Blocho0Mitas3n = 3Mitas took 3 of 3
S3Blocho0Mitas3n = 3Mitas took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricBlochoMitasB − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match20.033.3−13.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlochoMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime574 / 1045 vs 135 / 27354.9%49.5%574 / 1045 vs 135 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MitasBlocho 4.33/Mitas 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.1%
Mitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 29 · 16:55P. Blocho156630J. Mitas331111113
LSep 22 · 18:05P. Blocho239860J. Mitas331111113
LSep 21 · 18:05P. Blocho2239100J. Mitas341111123
P. Blocho10
WSep 29 · 21:50P. Blocho1.73101111113K. Rudomina2.00126941LSep 29 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.53716611113P. Blocho2.38111411662WSep 29 · 19:15P. Blocho2.2511411113J. Nadolny1.57511981WSep 29 · 18:05J. Krawczyk2.3891111782P. Blocho1.53118611113LSep 29 · 16:55J. Mitas1.301111113P. Blocho3.406630WSep 29 · 15:25A. Linek1.83116741P. Blocho1.8391111113WSep 22 · 19:40M. Minda1.83121231172P. Blocho1.831410119113LSep 22 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.57111199143P. Blocho2.25551111122LSep 22 · 18:05P. Blocho2.759860J. Mitas1.401111113WSep 22 · 16:30P. Blocho1.67611111113K. Rudomina2.1011781162
J. Mitas10
WSep 29 · 20:05J. Mitas1.61511712113J. Nadolny2.20114111092WSep 29 · 18:30A. Linek3.756430J. Mitas1.251111113WSep 29 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.911189101J. Mitas1.8071111123WSep 29 · 16:55J. Mitas1.301111113P. Blocho3.406630WSep 29 · 15:45J. Mitas1.221111113J. Krawczyk4.006960LSep 28 · 23:20J. Glanowski3.401211611113J. Mitas1.3014911492LSep 28 · 22:35J. Nadolny2.751111113J. Mitas1.407960WSep 28 · 22:10J. Mitas1.221011514113K. Rudomina4.00127111222WSep 28 · 21:00B. Kwodawski5.756540J. Mitas1.121111113WSep 22 · 18:05P. Blocho2.759860J. Mitas1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Blocho
Sep 29 · 23:20P. Blocho2.25L. Pietraszko1.57—Sep 30 · 00:10P. Blocho—J. Nadolny——Sep 30 · 15:45P. Blocho—J. Zochniak——Sep 30 · 16:55P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Sep 30 · 17:40P. Blocho—D. Solilo——Sep 30 · 18:30P. Blocho—K. Staszczyk——Sep 30 · 20:05P. Blocho—B. Sulkowski——Sep 30 · 21:25P. Blocho—D. Solilo——Sep 30 · 22:10P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Sep 30 · 22:55P. Blocho—B. Sulkowski——
J. Mitas
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