TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Sulkowski vs Kamil Rudomina 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511911––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingBartosz Sulkowski above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Kamil Rudomina at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 34–26 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 26 of their 60 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sulkowski beat Rudomina 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:5254.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rudomina
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
34-26 in 60
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1543 vs Rudomina 1440
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Rudomina 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Rudomina 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +2 · Rudomina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Rudomina) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rudomina form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.909 / Rudomina 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rudomina)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13219466
Sulkowski1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 159 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back18% 50 of 279
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 135
Rudomina1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 212 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it96% 102 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it78% 154 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski6wins
AwayRudomina4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski80%4 of 5
AwayRudomina60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Rudomina5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulkowski6Rudomina4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski3Rudomina7n = 10Rudomina took 7 of 10
S4Sulkowski5Rudomina2n = 7Sulkowski took 5 of 7
S5Sulkowski2Rudomina1n = 3Sulkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiRudominaS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.736.9+0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime597 / 1330 vs 964 / 207744.9%46.4%597 / 1330 vs 964 / 2077Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RudominaSulkowski 1.91/Rudomina 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rudomina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 19:15B. Sulkowski47111411113K. Rudomina398121361
LSep 25 · 17:20B. Sulkowski4411881162K. Rudomina47711117113
WSep 24 · 23:20B. Sulkowski4011117113K. Rudomina33691171
LSep 24 · 20:30B. Sulkowski248790K. Rudomina331111113
WSep 21 · 00:10B. Sulkowski4111118113K. Rudomina32591171
LSep 20 · 19:15B. Sulkowski185850K. Rudomina331111113
LAug 27 · 11:50B. Sulkowski32611691K. Rudomina3911611113
WAug 27 · 06:00B. Sulkowski496111110113K. Rudomina4011741262
WAug 25 · 08:10B. Sulkowski341111123K. Rudomina2569100
WAug 23 · 21:30B. Sulkowski48851111133K. Rudomina48111187112
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 30 · 20:05P. Blocho1.6781111572B. Sulkowski2.10112911113WSep 30 · 19:15K. Rudomina2.008121361B. Sulkowski1.73111411113LSep 30 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.44141111113B. Sulkowski2.63166641LSep 30 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.1011119113B. Sulkowski1.67451131LSep 30 · 15:00D. Solilo1.73911117113B. Sulkowski2.0011871182WSep 25 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.5011514113T. Filbrandt1.507111281WSep 25 · 19:40B. Sulkowski1.611112123R. Malinowski2.20810100LSep 25 · 18:30B. Sulkowski2.505101141K. Staszczyk1.5011124113LSep 25 · 17:20K. Rudomina1.83711117113B. Sulkowski1.8311881162WSep 25 · 16:30B. Sulkowski1.7391111113A. Mugowski2.00114761
K. Rudomina10
LSep 30 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5011611113K. Rudomina2.50611581LSep 30 · 22:10K. Rudomina1.83911171P. Blocho1.8311911113LSep 30 · 20:30D. Solilo1.73711113113K. Rudomina2.0011981192LSep 30 · 19:15K. Rudomina2.008121361B. Sulkowski1.73111411113WSep 30 · 18:05J. Zochniak1.6181191472K. Rudomina2.201191112113LSep 30 · 16:55P. Blocho1.83115117113K. Rudomina1.8321131192LSep 30 · 15:25K. Staszczyk1.4411101113113K. Rudomina2.6391231542LSep 30 · 00:35K. Rudomina3.40115681J. Mitas1.3041111113WSep 29 · 23:45J. Nadolny1.67111113672K. Rudomina2.10281511113WSep 25 · 17:20K. Rudomina1.83711117113B. Sulkowski1.8311881162
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
K. Rudomina
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.