TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Sulkowski vs Tomasz Filbrandt 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1175111412118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBartosz Sulkowski above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Bartosz Sulkowski at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 3–8 Tomasz Filbrandt Bartosz Sulkowski has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Filbrandt beat Sulkowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:33What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Filbrandt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Filbrandt
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1531 vs Filbrandt 1612
Filbrandt
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Filbrandt 100%
Filbrandt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 40% vs Filbrandt 70%
Filbrandt
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Filbrandt +5
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Filbrandt) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.50 / Filbrandt 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Filbrandt)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13189828
Sulkowski2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 163 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back18% 51 of 283
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 137
Filbrandt1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 125 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 84 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski3wins
AwayFilbrandt7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFilbrandt leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski50%3 of 6
AwayFilbrandt100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski6Filbrandt4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski1Filbrandt9n = 10Filbrandt took 9 of 10
S3Sulkowski2Filbrandt8n = 10Filbrandt took 8 of 10
S4Sulkowski5Filbrandt2n = 7Sulkowski took 5 of 7
S5Sulkowski2Filbrandt3n = 5Filbrandt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiFilbrandtS − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.542.1−5.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime594 / 1324 vs 673 / 126544.9%53.2%594 / 1324 vs 673 / 1265Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilbrandtSulkowski 2.50/Filbrandt 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Filbrandt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 11:00B. Sulkowski4296111152T. Filbrandt45111184113
WAug 27 · 09:50B. Sulkowski571510146123T. Filbrandt5813121211102
LJul 25 · 20:05B. Sulkowski3911661152T. Filbrandt48611119113
LMay 17 · 16:45B. Sulkowski4812881372T. Filbrandt5410111111113
WMay 17 · 14:35B. Sulkowski3811115113T. Filbrandt36891181
LApr 21 · 09:50B. Sulkowski228770T. Filbrandt331111113
LMar 31 · 13:55B. Sulkowski34129941T. Filbrandt43101111113
LMar 3 · 11:35B. Sulkowski239860T. Filbrandt331111113
LJan 28 · 14:05B. Sulkowski175480T. Filbrandt331111113
WDec 31 · 01:15B. Sulkowski451110211113T. Filbrandt3841211742
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 25 · 19:40B. Sulkowski1.611112123R. Malinowski2.20810100LSep 25 · 18:30B. Sulkowski2.505101141K. Staszczyk1.5011124113LSep 25 · 17:20K. Rudomina1.83711117113B. Sulkowski1.8311881162WSep 25 · 16:30B. Sulkowski1.7391111113A. Mugowski2.00114761WSep 25 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4511113113K. Wisniewski1.47871191LSep 25 · 12:40M. Minda2.2011611153B. Sulkowski1.579118131LSep 25 · 11:50M. Zagajewski1.6711711113B. Sulkowski2.10811681LSep 25 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.3096111152T. Filbrandt1.52111184113LSep 25 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.15881131J. Zochniak1.6111116113WSep 25 · 00:10B. Sulkowski1.441312113K. Klocek2.63111090
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 25 · 20:05K. Rudomina3.255880T. Filbrandt1.331111113WSep 25 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.36111111113A. Mugowski3.00991381WSep 25 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.911211113K. Staszczyk1.8010840WSep 25 · 16:55R. Malinowski3.25681431T. Filbrandt1.33111112113WSep 25 · 14:40M. Zagajewski2.78116461T. Filbrandt1.3971111113LSep 25 · 13:30T. Filbrandt2.0513911892K. Wisniewski1.651111811113LSep 25 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.3061111113T. Filbrandt1.55118891WSep 25 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.3096111152T. Filbrandt1.52111184113WSep 25 · 09:25M. Minda3.3081261152T. Filbrandt1.291110115113LSep 13 · 00:10T. Filbrandt1.832590P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
Nothing scheduled
T. Filbrandt
Sep 26 · 09:45T. Filbrandt—B. Mleczko——Sep 26 · 10:55T. Filbrandt—A. Wos——Sep 26 · 11:45T. Filbrandt—D. Kosmal——Sep 26 · 12:35T. Filbrandt—I. Dabrowski——Sep 26 · 14:15T. Filbrandt—T. Piotrowski——Sep 26 · 15:50T. Filbrandt—J. Glanowski——Sep 26 · 16:35T. Filbrandt—K. Guminski——Sep 26 · 18:10T. Filbrandt—A. Mugowski——Sep 26 · 18:55T. Filbrandt—D. Kotwica——Sep 26 · 19:40T. Filbrandt—D. Poloszczanski——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.