TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tomasz Filbrandt vs Konrad Staszczyk 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118114––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:54 and never touched — 68.2% is still 68.2%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
68.2%
68.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 56 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 68.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 3–7 Konrad Staszczyk Tomasz Filbrandt has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Staszczyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1580 vs Staszczyk 1614
Staszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 60% vs Staszczyk 40%
Filbrandt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 50% vs Staszczyk 70%
Staszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt +2 · Staszczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.91 / Staszczyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13192099
Filbrandt1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 46 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Staszczyk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 180 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it90% 74 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it83% 126 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilbrandt3wins
AwayStaszczyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilbrandt66.7%2 of 3
AwayStaszczyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt3Staszczyk7n = 10Staszczyk took 7 of 10
S2Filbrandt4Staszczyk6n = 10Staszczyk took 6 of 10
S3Filbrandt4Staszczyk6n = 10Staszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Filbrandt3Staszczyk4n = 7Staszczyk took 4 of 7
S5Filbrandt2Staszczyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilbrandtStaszczykF − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.940.5−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime670 / 1262 vs 221 / 38753.1%57.1%670 / 1262 vs 221 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykFilbrandt 1.91/Staszczyk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 23:35T. Filbrandt35881181K. Staszczyk3411111113
LJul 17 · 00:45T. Filbrandt4891111982K. Staszczyk43113711113
LJul 16 · 22:30T. Filbrandt249780K. Staszczyk331111113
LJul 16 · 20:30T. Filbrandt401411871K. Staszczyk4716911113
WJun 28 · 16:15T. Filbrandt551191111133K. Staszczyk51811138112
WJun 27 · 16:30T. Filbrandt331111113K. Staszczyk246990
LJun 14 · 11:45T. Filbrandt4359111172K. Staszczyk48111169113
LJun 14 · 07:05T. Filbrandt32128751K. Staszczyk43101111113
LJun 14 · 04:35T. Filbrandt2789100K. Staszczyk341111123
WMay 17 · 19:05T. Filbrandt52912911113K. Staszczyk48111011882
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 25 · 16:55R. Malinowski3.25681431T. Filbrandt1.33111112113WSep 25 · 14:40M. Zagajewski2.78116461T. Filbrandt1.3971111113LSep 25 · 13:30T. Filbrandt2.0513911892K. Wisniewski1.651111811113LSep 25 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.3061111113T. Filbrandt1.55118891WSep 25 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.3096111152T. Filbrandt1.52111184113WSep 25 · 09:25M. Minda3.3081261152T. Filbrandt1.291110115113LSep 13 · 00:10T. Filbrandt1.832590P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113WSep 12 · 23:20T. Filbrandt1.9161111113M. Marchlewski1.80118581LSep 12 · 21:50T. Filbrandt2.1091191182D. Jadam1.67117118113LSep 12 · 21:25T. Filbrandt1.9111761172F. Mlynarski1.80511118113
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 25 · 16:05K. Rudomina2.634850K. Staszczyk1.441111113WSep 25 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.531111113D. Solilo2.384920LSep 24 · 23:45K. Klocek3.50115711113K. Staszczyk1.2861111632LSep 24 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.443111111112K. Rudomina2.63112913133LSep 24 · 21:50B. Sulkowski3.4011411113K. Staszczyk1.30611691WSep 23 · 23:20D. Solilo2.38911941K. Staszczyk1.5311511113WSep 23 · 22:35K. Kapik2.003460K. Staszczyk1.731111113WSep 23 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.331111123K. Klocek3.2569100WSep 23 · 21:00K. Rudomina2.6311911252K. Staszczyk1.44811411113WSep 23 · 20:30D. Solilo2.504450K. Staszczyk1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Filbrandt
Sep 25 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.36A. Mugowski3.00—Sep 25 · 20:05T. Filbrandt1.36K. Rudomina3.00—Sep 25 · 21:00T. Filbrandt1.50B. Sulkowski2.50—Sep 26 · 09:45T. Filbrandt—B. Mleczko——Sep 26 · 10:55T. Filbrandt—A. Wos——Sep 26 · 11:45T. Filbrandt—D. Kosmal——Sep 26 · 12:35T. Filbrandt—I. Dabrowski——Sep 26 · 14:15T. Filbrandt—T. Piotrowski——Sep 26 · 15:50T. Filbrandt—J. Glanowski——Sep 26 · 16:35T. Filbrandt—K. Guminski——
K. Staszczyk
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