TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Glanowski vs Adam Linek 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012911––––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:54 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Glanowski above · Adam Linek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Adam Linek at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Glanowski 46–35 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 35 of their 81 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Glanowski beat Linek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:5454.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Linek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
46-35 in 81
Glanowski
Wrong
gap of 11 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1449 vs Linek 1426
Glanowski
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 40% vs Linek 20%
Glanowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 50% vs Linek 10%
Glanowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -1 · Linek -4
Linek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Linek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.00 / Linek 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Linek)-3.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13226995
Glanowski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 126 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back20% 34 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Linek1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 101 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it72% 73 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski7wins
AwayLinek3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski62.5%5 of 8
AwayLinekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski8Linek2n = 10Glanowski took 8 of 10
S2Glanowski6Linek4n = 10Glanowski took 6 of 10
S3Glanowski4Linek6n = 10Linek took 6 of 10
S4Glanowski5Linek5n = 10split evenly
S5Glanowski4Linek3n = 7Glanowski took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiLinekG − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match51.850.5+1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime881 / 1769 vs 757 / 162549.8%46.6%881 / 1769 vs 757 / 1625Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LinekGlanowski 2.00/Linek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 18:30J. Glanowski5711111110143A. Linek55991312122
WSep 27 · 21:55J. Glanowski4212811113A. Linek381011891
LSep 27 · 18:10J. Glanowski601311129152A. Linek611181411173
WSep 8 · 08:35J. Glanowski751523911173A. Linek721325118152
WAug 25 · 08:35J. Glanowski551161111163A. Linek55911813142
WAug 10 · 00:35J. Glanowski44111111113A. Linek33136771
LAug 9 · 18:30J. Glanowski491111313112A. Linek50921115133
WJul 27 · 23:45J. Glanowski4312711133A. Linek4110119111
WJul 18 · 14:35J. Glanowski51911911113A. Linek4911911992
LJun 28 · 16:35J. Glanowski4211112992A. Linek51991111113
J. Glanowski10
LOct 1 · 21:00J. Glanowski3.256950K. Staszczyk1.331111113WOct 1 · 20:05J. Glanowski1.91119116213A. Mugowski1.80611811192WOct 1 · 18:30A. Linek1.61991312122J. Glanowski2.2011111110143LOct 1 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.331111123J. Glanowski3.2587100LOct 1 · 16:55J. Glanowski2.0055111192D. Solilo1.73111190113LOct 1 · 15:45J. Glanowski2.001112781D. Kosmal1.7391411113WSep 29 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.6711118113B. Kwodawski2.10951151WSep 28 · 23:20J. Glanowski3.401211611113J. Mitas1.3014911492WSep 28 · 21:49J. Glanowski1.61911112113J. Nadolny2.2011351192LSep 28 · 21:25J. Glanowski1.731111361K. Rudomina2.0091115113
A. Linek10
LOct 1 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.4461111113A. Linek2.63116581LOct 1 · 21:25D. Solilo1.6771112113A. Linek2.101161071LOct 1 · 19:40A. Linek2.638111081D. Kosmal1.4411512113LOct 1 · 18:30A. Linek1.61991312122J. Glanowski2.2011111110143WOct 1 · 17:20A. Linek1.5712115133A. Mugowski2.2510911111LOct 1 · 16:05K. Staszczyk1.40111110113A. Linek2.75641241LOct 1 · 15:25A. Linek2.381091181D. Solilo1.5312118113LSep 29 · 19:40A. Linek1.80515761J. Krawczyk1.91111311113LSep 29 · 18:30A. Linek3.756430J. Mitas1.251111113LSep 29 · 17:20A. Linek2.387480J. Nadolny1.531111113
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A. Linek
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