TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Glanowski vs Konrad Staszczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911511––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched: 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Glanowski above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 77.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Glanowski 3–13 Konrad Staszczyk Jakub Glanowski has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Staszczyk beat Glanowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:5077.2%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
clears by 2.2pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Staszczyk
Correct
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1456 vs Staszczyk 1685
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 40% vs Staszczyk 80%
Staszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 50% vs Staszczyk 90%
Staszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski +2 · Staszczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 3.25 / Staszczyk 1.333
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13222947
Glanowski3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 126 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back20% 34 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Staszczyk1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 200 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it91% 85 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it84% 143 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski2wins
AwayStaszczyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayStaszczyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski3Staszczyk7n = 10Staszczyk took 7 of 10
S2Glanowski4Staszczyk6n = 10Staszczyk took 6 of 10
S3Glanowski3Staszczyk7n = 10Staszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Glanowski3Staszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiStaszczykG − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.739.8−6.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime881 / 1768 vs 244 / 41949.8%58.2%881 / 1768 vs 244 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykGlanowski 3.25/Staszczyk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 17:40J. Glanowski2587100K. Staszczyk341111123
LSep 28 · 15:25J. Glanowski146530K. Staszczyk331111113
LJul 12 · 23:35J. Glanowski238780K. Staszczyk331111113
LJul 12 · 21:20J. Glanowski345111081K. Staszczyk3811412113
LJun 28 · 19:40J. Glanowski48612513122K. Staszczyk5711101111143
WJun 28 · 01:25J. Glanowski371111153K. Staszczyk3199130
LJun 27 · 22:55J. Glanowski35117981K. Staszczyk4181111113
LMay 23 · 23:25J. Glanowski356811101K. Staszczyk4011116123
LMay 23 · 21:05J. Glanowski45131151152K. Staszczyk531113117113
WMay 23 · 17:00J. Glanowski4171112113K. Staszczyk381191081
J. Glanowski10
WOct 1 · 20:05J. Glanowski1.91119116213A. Mugowski1.80611811192WOct 1 · 18:30A. Linek1.61991312122J. Glanowski2.2011111110143LOct 1 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.331111123J. Glanowski3.2587100LOct 1 · 16:55J. Glanowski2.0055111192D. Solilo1.73111190113LOct 1 · 15:45J. Glanowski2.001112781D. Kosmal1.7391411113WSep 29 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.6711118113B. Kwodawski2.10951151WSep 28 · 23:20J. Glanowski3.401211611113J. Mitas1.3014911492WSep 28 · 21:49J. Glanowski1.61911112113J. Nadolny2.2011351192LSep 28 · 21:25J. Glanowski1.731111361K. Rudomina2.0091115113LSep 28 · 20:30J. Mitas1.4441111123J. Glanowski2.631164101
K. Staszczyk10
WOct 1 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.5011511113D. Solilo2.50811981LOct 1 · 18:50K. Staszczyk1.57961191D. Kosmal2.2511115113WOct 1 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.331111123J. Glanowski3.2587100WOct 1 · 16:05K. Staszczyk1.40111110113A. Linek2.75641241WOct 1 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.281111113A. Mugowski3.504470WOct 1 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.369111211113P. Blocho3.0011314652WSep 30 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.637230K. Staszczyk1.441111113WSep 30 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5011611113K. Rudomina2.50611581WSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113WSep 30 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.8011811113J. Zochniak1.91811761
Upcoming Matches
J. Glanowski
Oct 1 · 22:55J. Glanowski2.00A. Linek1.73—Oct 1 · 23:45J. Glanowski1.73B. Sulkowski2.00—Oct 2 · 00:10J. Glanowski2.00D. Solilo1.73—Oct 2 · 15:00J. Glanowski—M. Trela——Oct 2 · 16:35J. Glanowski—P. Strus——Oct 2 · 17:20J. Glanowski—K. Klocek——Oct 2 · 19:20J. Glanowski—K. Sulkowski——Oct 2 · 20:05J. Glanowski—D. Szlubowski——Oct 2 · 21:05J. Glanowski—M. Trela——Oct 2 · 22:55J. Glanowski—D. Poloszczanski——
K. Staszczyk
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