TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Konrad Staszczyk vs Dominik Solilo 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118511119118––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched: 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 64.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 8–1 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:2264.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Staszczyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1675 vs Solilo 1590
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 80% vs Solilo 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 90% vs Solilo 60%
Staszczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk -1 · Solilo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.50 / Solilo 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Staszczyk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222876
Staszczyk1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 200 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it91% 85 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it84% 143 of 170
Solilo2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStaszczyk8wins
AwaySolilo1wins
2 of 9 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczyk100%8 of 8
AwaySolilon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk8Solilo1n = 9Staszczyk took 8 of 9
S2Staszczyk5Solilo4n = 9Staszczyk took 5 of 9
S3Staszczyk8Solilo1n = 9Staszczyk took 8 of 9
S4Staszczyk4Solilo0n = 4Staszczyk took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricStaszczykSoliloStaszczyk − SoliloBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match37.926.4+11.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 418 vs 283 / 57458.1%49.3%243 / 418 vs 283 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.50/Solilo 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 30 · 21:50K. Staszczyk4211911113D. Solilo22711221
WSep 30 · 16:05K. Staszczyk51119911113D. Solilo3751111282
WSep 25 · 00:35K. Staszczyk331111113D. Solilo154920
WSep 23 · 23:20K. Staszczyk3811511113D. Solilo33911941
WSep 23 · 20:30K. Staszczyk331111113D. Solilo134450
WSep 16 · 22:35K. Staszczyk331111113D. Solilo239680
LSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk4297111142D. Solilo45111157113
WAug 19 · 00:35K. Staszczyk351211123D. Solilo26106100
WAug 17 · 22:10K. Staszczyk341211113D. Solilo2410590
K. Staszczyk10
WOct 1 · 21:00J. Glanowski3.256950K. Staszczyk1.331111113LOct 1 · 18:50K. Staszczyk1.57961191D. Kosmal2.2511115113WOct 1 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.331111123J. Glanowski3.2587100WOct 1 · 16:05K. Staszczyk1.40111110113A. Linek2.75641241WOct 1 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.281111113A. Mugowski3.504470WOct 1 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.369111211113P. Blocho3.0011314652WSep 30 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.637230K. Staszczyk1.441111113WSep 30 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5011611113K. Rudomina2.50611581WSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113WSep 30 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.8011811113J. Zochniak1.91811761
D. Solilo10
WOct 1 · 19:15D. Solilo1.50119811113A. Mugowski2.5071111962LOct 1 · 18:05D. Kosmal1.67121110113D. Solilo2.101091271WOct 1 · 16:55J. Glanowski2.0055111192D. Solilo1.73111190113WOct 1 · 15:25A. Linek2.381091181D. Solilo1.5312118113WOct 1 · 00:10D. Solilo1.5713511113B. Sulkowski2.251111771LSep 30 · 23:20D. Solilo1.737101191K. Rudomina2.0011129113LSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113LSep 30 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53911721P. Blocho2.3811811113WSep 30 · 20:30D. Solilo1.73711113113K. Rudomina2.0011981192WSep 30 · 18:50D. Solilo1.611111113J. Zochniak2.206990
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