TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Kosmal vs Dominik Solilo 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101191012117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:00 and never touched: 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Kosmal above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 82 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Dawid Kosmal at 54.6%
82 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Kosmal 2–5 Dominik Solilo Dawid Kosmal has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:0054.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 5.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Solilo
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1637 vs Solilo 1595
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Solilo 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 70% vs Solilo 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -1 · Solilo +3
Solilo
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Kosmal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.666 / Solilo 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kosmal)-5.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222880
Kosmal1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 159 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it96% 87 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it84% 129 of 153
Solilo2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKosmal2wins
AwaySolilo5wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSolilo leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmaln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySolilo100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal2Solilo5n = 7Solilo took 5 of 7
S2Kosmal2Solilo5n = 7Solilo took 5 of 7
S3Kosmal6Solilo1n = 7Kosmal took 6 of 7
S4Kosmal2Solilo4n = 6Solilo took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKosmalSoliloK − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match37.638.9−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 666 vs 282 / 57253.8%49.3%358 / 666 vs 282 / 572Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.67/Solilo 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 11 · 05:35D. Kosmal4695161152D. Solilo541111147113
LAug 29 · 12:35D. Kosmal34961181D. Solilo4111118113
WAug 5 · 03:00D. Kosmal341111123D. Solilo1954100
WAug 4 · 04:25D. Kosmal43111011113D. Solilo35712971
LJul 15 · 10:35D. Kosmal30711841D. Solilo3711411113
LMay 3 · 12:10D. Kosmal4111101191D. Solilo4213126113
LMay 2 · 09:45D. Kosmal351271151D. Solilo4414118113
D. Kosmal10
WOct 1 · 18:50K. Staszczyk1.57961191D. Kosmal2.2511115113LOct 1 · 16:30D. Kosmal1.501112981A. Mugowski2.5091411113WOct 1 · 15:45J. Glanowski2.001112781D. Kosmal1.7391411113WOct 1 · 14:40D. Kosmal1.651111133B. Czerwinski2.1078110WOct 1 · 13:05D. Kosmal1.40471112113A. Mugowski2.65111121092LOct 1 · 11:50D. Kosmal1.7671191162R. Stapor1.96119119113WOct 1 · 10:10D. Kosmal1.60411115113M. Minda2.2011471192WOct 1 · 09:00D. Kosmal1.6311811113J. Zochniak2.15511961WSep 26 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.6311121110113A. Wos2.1551451282WSep 26 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.4211112113B. Mleczko2.60691141
D. Solilo10
WOct 1 · 19:15D. Solilo1.50119811113A. Mugowski2.5071111962WOct 1 · 16:55J. Glanowski2.0055111192D. Solilo1.73111190113WOct 1 · 15:25A. Linek2.381091181D. Solilo1.5312118113WOct 1 · 00:10D. Solilo1.5713511113B. Sulkowski2.251111771LSep 30 · 23:20D. Solilo1.737101191K. Rudomina2.0011129113LSep 30 · 21:50D. Solilo2.50711221K. Staszczyk1.5011911113LSep 30 · 21:25D. Solilo1.53911721P. Blocho2.3811811113WSep 30 · 20:30D. Solilo1.73711113113K. Rudomina2.0011981192WSep 30 · 18:50D. Solilo1.611111113J. Zochniak2.206990WSep 30 · 17:40D. Solilo1.5771111153P. Blocho2.251192131
Upcoming Matches
D. Kosmal
Oct 1 · 19:40D. Kosmal1.44A. Linek2.63—Oct 2 · 09:00D. Kosmal—K. Wisniewski——Oct 2 · 10:05D. Kosmal—P. Jendrzejewski——Oct 2 · 11:45D. Kosmal—K. Kapik——Oct 2 · 13:00D. Kosmal—G. Poliniewicz——Oct 2 · 14:35D. Kosmal—M. Rutkowski——Oct 2 · 16:30D. Kosmal—G. Kesik——Oct 2 · 17:20D. Kosmal—K. Staszczyk——Oct 2 · 18:30D. Kosmal—S. Brud——Oct 2 · 19:40D. Kosmal—M. Kukawka——
D. Solilo
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.