TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Pyrtyk vs Oleksandr Bolnyh 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191197111210––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:38 and never touched: 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeBohdan Pyrtyk to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Pyrtyk above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Bohdan Pyrtyk at 72.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Pyrtyk 10–1 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:3872.3%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 1.1pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pyrtyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Pyrtyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrtyk 842 vs Bolnyh 754
Pyrtyk
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrtyk 60% vs Bolnyh 20%
Pyrtyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrtyk 60% vs Bolnyh 40%
Pyrtyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrtyk +1 · Bolnyh -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Pyrtyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrtyk 1.363 / Bolnyh 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Pyrtyk)-1.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229120
Pyrtyk1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 44 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Bolnyh3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 35 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePyrtyk9wins
AwayBolnyh1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPyrtyk leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrtyk100%7 of 7
AwayBolnyh33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrtyk7Bolnyh3n = 10Pyrtyk took 7 of 10
S2Pyrtyk7Bolnyh3n = 10Pyrtyk took 7 of 10
S3Pyrtyk7Bolnyh3n = 10Pyrtyk took 7 of 10
S4Pyrtyk4Bolnyh2n = 6Pyrtyk took 4 of 6
S5Pyrtyk4Bolnyh1n = 5Pyrtyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPyrtykBolnyhP − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.734.4+7.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrtykBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 313 vs 90 / 20346%44.3%144 / 313 vs 90 / 203Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PyrtykPyrtyk 1.36/Bolnyh 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Pyrtyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pyrtyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk4111117123O. Bolnyh399911101
WSep 19 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk511081111113O. Bolnyh4012118632
WAug 13 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk361111143O. Bolnyh2769120
WJul 18 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk46811115113O. Bolnyh3911461172
WJul 10 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk331111113O. Bolnyh235990
LJul 2 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk47911611102O. Bolnyh43114115123
WJun 3 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk391216113O. Bolnyh26101420
WMay 27 · 10:05B. Pyrtyk471141110113O. Bolnyh4261161272
WMay 20 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk331111113O. Bolnyh249690
WApr 2 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk44115611113O. Bolnyh4181111832
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 22 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk2.006840B. Pyrtyk1.731111113LSep 22 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk2.20107100Y. Shcherbak1.611211123LSep 22 · 07:55O. Martynenko1.44131310113B. Pyrtyk2.6311111291WSep 22 · 05:55M. Senyk5.001014751B. Pyrtyk1.14121211113WSep 22 · 04:55R. Skoropad3.259040B. Pyrtyk1.331111113LSep 19 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.401111113B. Pyrtyk2.754580LSep 19 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.449790V. Sydorchuk2.631111113WSep 19 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk1.221111113M. Kornijchuk4.003940WSep 19 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.171111153M. Senyk4.5046130WSep 19 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk1.331081111113O. Bolnyh3.2512118632
O. Bolnyh10
WOct 2 · 05:55O. Martynenko1.616380O. Bolnyh2.201111113LOct 1 · 18:55Y. Shcherbak1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507960LOct 1 · 17:25O. Bolnyh1.6711881162P. Melnichuk2.10511119113WOct 1 · 15:25M. Senyk2.7591511872O. Bolnyh1.401113911113LOct 1 · 13:25O. Martynenko1.67121111123O. Bolnyh2.101468101LOct 1 · 12:25I. Fokin1.251111153O. Bolnyh3.7538130WSep 19 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk2.00814971O. Bolnyh1.73111211113WSep 19 · 09:55O. Bolnyh1.171111113M. Kornijchuk4.505390WSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123LSep 19 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk1.331081111113O. Bolnyh3.2512118632
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