TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Kamil Przeczek vs Jiri Vanous 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:30 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Przeczek above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Kamil Przeczek at 58.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Przeczek 5–3 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:3058.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Przeczek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Przeczek
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przeczek 1393 vs Vanous 1307
Przeczek
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przeczek 60% vs Vanous 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przeczek 50% vs Vanous 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przeczek -1 · Vanous +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Przeczek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 1.615 / Vanous 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Przeczek)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13226942
Przeczek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 24 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it64% 18 of 28
Vanous2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 26)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 48 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePrzeczek5wins
AwayVanous3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderPrzeczek leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek100%4 of 4
AwayVanous75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek4Vanous4n = 8split evenly
S2Przeczek5Vanous3n = 8Przeczek took 5 of 8
S3Przeczek3Vanous5n = 8Vanous took 5 of 8
S4Przeczek2Vanous4n = 6Vanous took 4 of 6
S5Przeczek3Vanous0n = 3Przeczek took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPrzeczekVanousP − VBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.238.6−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 174 vs 139 / 31846%43.7%80 / 174 vs 139 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekPrzeczek 1.61/Vanous 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 1 · 20:40K. Przeczek551111157113J. Vanous4967171182
LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek207580J. Vanous331111113
WJul 24 · 17:45K. Przeczek46111275113J. Vanous46610111182
WJun 30 · 19:10K. Przeczek3811115113J. Vanous31791141
WMay 22 · 20:45K. Przeczek401116133J. Vanous31614110
LMay 22 · 19:45K. Przeczek22611321J. Vanous4211911113
WDec 9 · 21:50K. Przeczek49971111113J. Vanous3811116462
LDec 9 · 19:40K. Przeczek36981181J. Vanous3911116113
K. Przeczek10
LSep 21 · 17:08K. Przeczek1.73911731F. Theodor2.0011511113WSep 21 · 16:10K. Przeczek1.801111113O. Coufal1.912570WSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133LSep 21 · 14:10O. Skvor1.6711414113K. Przeczek2.102111251WSep 14 · 16:45K. Przeczek1.5711158113T. Ogrocki2.259131171WSep 14 · 16:15K. Przeczek1.611613113T. Ogrocki2.20141190LSep 14 · 14:45A. Drozd1.801111113K. Przeczek1.919770WSep 14 · 14:15O. Skvor1.5711961152K. Przeczek2.25511117113LSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 15:40K. Przeczek1.57114341P. Jokiel2.2591111113
J. Vanous10
WSep 26 · 20:50K. Zeman1.503101191J. Vanous2.5011124113LSep 26 · 20:15J. Vanous2.20781141P. Jokiel1.6111119113WSep 26 · 18:45K. Zeman1.44116741J. Vanous2.6331111113LSep 26 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5311713113J. Vanous2.387111131WSep 24 · 20:40J. Vanous1.53111234113R. Benesz2.38610111112LSep 24 · 19:40J. Vanous2.105590T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 24 · 18:40J. Vanous1.731111113R. Benesz2.005680LSep 24 · 17:40J. Vanous1.834680P. Jokiel1.831111113LSep 22 · 20:45J. Vanous1.578430R. Benesz2.251111113WSep 22 · 19:40J. Vanous2.0014117113T. Ogrocki1.731261181
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